The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kampala City Council 66.4%
Draw 21.2%
UPDF 12.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
65.1%
23.6%
11.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.3%
23.2%
11.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kampala City Council has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
UPDF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kampala City Council than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for UPDF than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 7th and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kampala City won 4.
Kampala City has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by UPDF have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
UPDF may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Kampala City has faced a series of away games on the road.
The betting markets point to Kampala City as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Kampala City has recorded 12 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 31:10 (averaging 1.8:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kampala City against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 18:5 goals (averaging 2:0.6 per game).
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