Match Info
Premier League - Round 14Date: 27 January 2026, TuesdayLocation: MTN Omondi Stadium (Bugoloobi)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Uganda | FUFA TV, Sanyuka TV |
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Kampala City Council |
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UPDF |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.37 |
4.15 |
7.1 |
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 |
1.31 |
4.43 |
7.4 |
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 |
1.35 |
4.47 |
7.87 |
 Watch |
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1.33 |
4 |
8.5 |
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 |
1.32 |
4.33 |
8.8 |
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 |
1.37 |
4.2 |
7.5 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.34 ↓
(1.42) |
4.26 ↓
(4.35) |
7.86 ↑
(6) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Kampala City Council
67.3% | Draw
21.2% | UPDF
11.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kampala City Council has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)UPDF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kampala City Council than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for UPDF than the current prediction. (+2.9%)Kampala City Council - UPDF Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Ssebaduka S. ⚽,
- 30', 2 - 0, Sserunjogi J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 51', 3 - 0, Ssebaduka S. ⚽,
- 90+1', 4 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 12).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kampala City won 3.Kampala City is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).UPDF has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). In this match, Kampala City is the undisputed favorite.In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Kampala City won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:9. (average 1.7:0.6).Including home matches between the teams, Kampala City won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 1.8:0.6).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | UPDF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
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| 12 | Kampala City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 4 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ugandan Super League | | | 13.03.25 | UPDF - Kampala City Council | 1:2 | | 19.10.24 | Kampala City Council - UPDF | 0:0 | | 07.05.24 | Kampala City Council - UPDF | 1:0 | | 28.12.23 | UPDF - Kampala City Council | 1:2 | | 09.04.23 | Kampala City Council - UPDF | 1:1 | | 09.11.22 | UPDF - Kampala City Council | 0:1 | | 05.04.22 | UPDF - Kampala City Council | 0:3 |
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