Match Info

2. Liga - Round 29

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: Alpenstadion (Kapfenberg)

Referee: Untergasser A. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1, ORF On, ORF Sport+
Germany	Laola1
Switzerland	LAOLA1


	Kapfenberger SV		St. Pölten

	1	X	2
				Watch
	7.3	5.15	1.33
	7.27	5.4	1.38
	6.95	5.91	1.33	Watch
	6.5	4.8	1.33
	6.6	5.58	1.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.92 ↑ (4.7)	5.37 ↑ (4.16)	1.34 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kapfenberger SV
13.4%

Draw
17.3%

St. Pölten
69.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

22.2%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

21.2%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kapfenberger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kapfenberger SV's form might have worsened.

St. Pölten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Pölten's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kapfenberger SV than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kapfenberger SV, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pölten than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Pölten, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Kapfenberger SV - St. Pölten Predictions

Users Predictions: St. Pölten will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Colic V. (G) 38. Breit P. 28. Mikulic N. 17. Littig R. (C) 71. Maier T. 14. Pranjkovic M. 16. Marinovic A. 27. Zikovic N. 10. Krasniqi B. 22. Dilek R. 18. Rostas J.	1. Knett C. (G) 2. Thesker S. (C) 15. Skogen S. 5. Buchegger L. 18. Altersberger T. 8. Messerer C. 10. Stendera M. 23. Carlson D. 11. Hausjell M. 43. Celic N. 33. Ferstl V.
Substitutes
23. Hassler L. 9. Kadlec M. 42. Krautler F. 33. N'Zi O. 24. Pribag N. 36. Puntigam D. (G) 19. Turi J.	7. Amoah W. 77. Barlov D. 26. Borkovic A. 70. Djuricin M. 9. Gschweidl B. 32. Kurz M. (G) 97. Perovic F.
Coaches
Petrovic V.	Sekerlioglu C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
14', Breit P. 🟨,
25', Buchegger L. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Messerer C. ⚽, Ferstl V. (A),
34', 0 - 2, Hausjell M. ⚽, Celic N. (A),
41', 0 - 3, Stendera M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Littig R. ↓, N'Zi O. ↑,
46', Buchegger L. ↓, Amoah W. ↑,
64', Mikulic N. 🟨,
66', Mikulic N. ↓, Hassler L. ↑,
66', Marinovic A. ↓, Krautler F. ↑,
69', Ferstl V. ↓, Gschweidl B. ↑,
69', Thesker S. ↓, Borkovic A. ↑,
69', Stendera M. ↓, Barlov D. ↑,
75', Hausjell M. ↓, Perovic F. ↑,
78', Krasniqi B. ↓, Kadlec M. ↑,
84', Rostas J. ↓, Pribag N. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kapfenberg won 1.

Recent form of Kapfenberg has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

St. Pölten has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, St. Pölten is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kapfenberg won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:35. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Kapfenberg won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	St. Polten	7	3	0	4	6:6	0	9
16	Kapfenberg	7	1	0	6	9:17	-8	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kapfenberger SV
Austrian 2 Liga
02.05.26	Kapfenberger SV - Liefering	1:4 ✺
25.04.26	Austria Salzburg - Kapfenberger SV	1:0 ✺
17.04.26	Kapfenberger SV - Bregenz	3:1 ✺
10.04.26	Austria Klagenfurt - Kapfenberger SV	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Kapfenberger SV - Rapid Wien II	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLL
- SKN St. Pölten
Austrian 2 Liga
02.05.26	St. Pölten - Admira	0:0 ✺
24.04.26	Floridsdorfer AC - St. Pölten	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	St. Pölten - Liefering	0:0 ✺
10.04.26	Austria Lustenau - St. Pölten	3:0 ✺
06.04.26	St. Pölten - Austria Klagenfurt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
23.11.25	St. Pölten - Kapfenberger SV	2:1
07.03.25	St. Pölten - Kapfenberger SV	3:1
23.08.24	Kapfenberger SV - St. Pölten	2:0
08.03.24	St. Pölten - Kapfenberger SV	2:0
20.08.23	Kapfenberger SV - St. Pölten	0:3
21.05.23	Kapfenberger SV - St. Pölten	2:1
19.08.22	St. Pölten - Kapfenberger SV	2:0

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