Match Info

2. Liga - Round 10

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Alpenstadion (Kapfenberg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Baumann M. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Austria	18:30	Laola1
Germany	18:30	Laola1
Switzerland	18:30	LAOLA1
International	16:30	OneFootball TV


	Kapfenberger SV		St. Pölten

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.40	4.20	1.60
	5.20	4.20	1.50
	4.85	4.40	1.63
	5	4.7	1.53	Watch
	4.80	4.35	1.59
	4.65	4.34	1.60	Watch
	4.40	4.20	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.76 ↓ (5.2)	4.34 ↓ (4.67)	1.58 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kapfenberger SV
19.6%

Draw
21.4%

St. Pölten
59%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.9%

20%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

19.5%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kapfenberger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

St. Pölten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kapfenberger SV than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pölten than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Kapfenberger SV - St. Pölten Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Pölten (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: St. Pölten will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Colic V. (G) 71. Maier T. 33. Thaqi E. 38. Ojukwu E. 23. Bagrationi M. 24. Zlibanovic R. 5. Miskovic M. (C) 7. Stoger M. 30. Heuser B. 18. Rostas J. 80. Potnar B.	1. Knett C. (G) 4. Szerencsi N. 15. Skogen S. 6. Borkovic A. 18. Altersberger T. 27. Kolodziejczyk M. 34. Krasniqi L. 10. Stendera M. (C) 22. Mane E. H. 28. Hartwig L. 11. Gabbichler L.
Substitutes
3. Coco L. 41. Habel N. (G) 16. Marinovic A. 14. Pranjkovic M. 10. Sokcevic A. 35. Stauder F. 17. Weissenbacher P.	7. Amoah W. 5. Buchegger L. 45. Gabriel Jesus D. 20. Halmich J. 32. Kurz M. (G) 19. Rupp P. 77. Wanner J.
Coaches
Liendl M.	Sekerlioglu C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Stoger M. ⚽, Bagrationi M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hartwig L. ↓, Gabriel Jesus D. ↑,
46', Altersberger T. ↓, Amoah W. ↑,
50', Heuser B. 🟨,
52', Borkovic A. 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, Gabriel Jesus D. ⚽, Borkovic A. (A),
59', Rostas J. ↓, Marinovic A. ↑,
60', Heuser B. ↓, Stauder F. ↑,
60', Gabbichler L. ↓, Wanner J. ↑,
81', Zlibanovic R. ↓, Sokcevic A. ↑,
82', Kolodziejczyk M. ↓, Rupp P. ↑,
88', Stoger M. 🟨,
89', Potnar B. ↓, Weissenbacher P. ↑,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 11th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kapfenberg won 1.

Kapfenberg is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by St. Pölten have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to St. Pölten for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kapfenberg has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:36 (averaging 1.1:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kapfenberg against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 9:13 goals (averaging 1:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	St. Polten	10	3	2	5	8:10	-2	11
15	Kapfenberg	10	2	1	7	12:19	-7	7

Last Results with these Odds

Kapfenberger SV - the odds 5.2 are the expected chance of winning is 17.92%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

St. Pölten - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 62.12%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kapfenberger SV
Austrian 2 Liga
18.10.26	Sturm Graz B - Kapfenberger SV	0:2 ✺
09.10.26	Kapfenberger SV - Austria Wien II	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.09.26	Hartberg - Kapfenberger SV	5:0 ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
18.09.26	Kapfenberger SV - Amstetten	3:4 ✺
11.09.26	Admira - Kapfenberger SV	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLLL
- SKN St. Pölten
Austrian 2 Liga
16.10.26	St. Pölten - Rapid Wien II	0:0 ✺
09.10.26	First Vienna - St. Pölten	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	St. Pölten - Bregenz	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Liefering - St. Pölten	1:3 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
06.09.26	St. Pölten - Red Bull Salzburg	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
08.05.26	Kapfenberger SV - St. Pölten	0:3
23.11.25	St. Pölten - Kapfenberger SV	2:1
07.03.25	St. Pölten - Kapfenberger SV	3:1
23.08.24	Kapfenberger SV - St. Pölten	2:0
08.03.24	St. Pölten - Kapfenberger SV	2:0
20.08.23	Kapfenberger SV - St. Pölten	0:3
21.05.23	Kapfenberger SV - St. Pölten	2:1

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