Match Info

2. Lig White Group - Round 21

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Karacabey Belediyespor		İnegölspor

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.25	2.08
	3.23	3.45	2.05	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.05
	3.19	3.4	2.11
	3.25	3.33	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.51)	3.31 ↑ (3.24)	2.06 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karacabey Belediyespor
28.8%

Draw
27.3%

İnegölspor
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

27.9%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

28%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karacabey Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karacabey Belediyespor's form might have worsened.

İnegölspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting İnegölspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karacabey Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karacabey Belediyespor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for İnegölspor than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for İnegölspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Karacabey Belediyespor - İnegölspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', Ozgun B. 🟨,
85', 0 - 1, Ozan Y. ⚽, Gumus T. (A),

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Karacabey Bld won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karacabey Belediyespor
Turkish Second League White Group
11.01.26	Kepez Belediyesi - Karacabey Belediyespor	2:1 ✺
28.12.25	Bucaspor 1928 - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:4 ✺
21.12.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Beykoz Anadolu	3:1 ✺
16.12.25	Ankaraspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:0 ✺
12.12.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Muğlaspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWTL
- İnegölspor
Turkish Second League White Group
11.01.26	İnegölspor - Batman Petrolspor	1:1 ✺
28.12.25	İnegölspor - Altınordu	3:1 ✺
20.12.25	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - İnegölspor	2:3 ✺
16.12.25	İnegölspor - Ankaragücü	1:2 ✺
12.12.25	Elazığspor - İnegölspor	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
30.08.25	İnegölspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	2:1

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