Match Info

TURKEY: 2. Lig Red Group - Round 27

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	Somaspor		Vanspor

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.3	1.72
	4.8	3.45	1.72
	4.5	3.34	1.77
				Watch
	4.94	3.36	1.67
	4.8	3.45	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.65 ↑ (4.37)	3.38 ↓ (3.55)	1.72 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Somaspor
19.7%

Draw
27.1%

Vanspor
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

25.6%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

25.2%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Somaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Vanspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Somaspor than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Somaspor - Vanspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Eken O. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Fakili K. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 1 - 2, Eken O. (Pen),

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Vanspor is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Somaspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Somaspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Somaspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
09.03.25	Nazillispor - Somaspor	0:4 ✺
02.03.25	Somaspor - Derince Belediyespor	0:1 ✺
12.02.25	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Somaspor	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Somaspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Bucaspor 1928 - Somaspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLTT
- Vanspor FK
Turkish Second League Red Group
09.03.25	Vanspor - Ankara Demirspor	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Erbaaspor - Vanspor	1:4 ✺
16.02.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Vanspor	1:1 ✺
12.02.25	Vanspor - Menemenspor	2:2 ✺
08.02.25	Elazığspor - Vanspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
03.11.24	Vanspor - Somaspor	3:1
09.04.22	Vanspor - Somaspor	1:0
27.11.21	Somaspor - Vanspor	2:0

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