The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Karbala 19%
Draw 25.2%
Arbil 55.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19%
25.2%
55.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.3%
24.3%
57.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Karbala have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Arbil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karbala than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbil than the current prediction. (+2%)
Karbala - Arbil Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Eze I. ⚽, Khalid Kofi M. (A),
24', 0 - 2, Eze I. ⚽, Khalid Kofi M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 0 - 3, Eze I. ⚽, Bayesh I. (A),
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 19th in the Relegation and 4th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karbala won 0.
Recent results have been tough for Karbala (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Arbil shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Arbil carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Karbala has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:15 (averaging 0.8:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Karbala against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 3:7 goals (averaging 1.5:3.5 per game).
Iraq
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