Match Info

Premier League - Round 30

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Kariobangi Sharks		Muranga Seal

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.15	4.25
	1.79	3.32	3.95
	1.79	3.42	4.12	Watch
	1.75	3.1	4.2
	1.81	3.3	4.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.35)	3.26 ↑ (2.82)	4.12 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kariobangi Sharks
50.4%

Draw
27.7%

Muranga Seal
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

32.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

32.1%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kariobangi Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kariobangi Sharks's performance.

Muranga Seal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Muranga Seal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kariobangi Sharks than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kariobangi Sharks that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muranga Seal than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Muranga Seal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kariobangi Sharks - Muranga Seal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Mbulere S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 11).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Kariobangi Sharks may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kariobangi Sharks is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kariobangi Sharks won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 0.8:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kariobangi Sharks won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Muranga	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kariobangi Sharks
Kenyan Premier League
18.04.26	Kariobangi Sharks - Mara Sugar	2:0 ✺
Kenyan FKF Cup
10.04.26	Tusker - Kariobangi Sharks	1:2 ✺
Kenyan Premier League
04.04.26	Gor Mahia - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	AFC Leopards - Kariobangi Sharks	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Kariobangi Sharks - Posta Rangers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWTLL
- Muranga Seal
Kenyan Premier League
05.04.26	Muranga Seal - AFC Leopards	0:2 ✺
29.03.26	Shabana - Muranga Seal	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Muranga Seal - Mathare United	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Kenya CB - Muranga Seal	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Muranga Seal - Posta Rangers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
30.11.25	Muranga Seal - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0
20.04.25	Muranga Seal - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0
22.09.24	Kariobangi Sharks - Muranga Seal	3:0
15.05.24	Muranga Seal - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0
07.01.24	Kariobangi Sharks - Muranga Seal	1:1

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