Match Info

Premier League - Round 27

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	Muranga Seal		AFC Leopards

	1	X	2
	4.35	2.92	1.85
	4.54	2.99	1.79
	4.59	3	1.85	Watch
	4.2	2.75	1.91
	4.61	2.99	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↑ (3.46)	2.93 ↑ (2.93)	1.84 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Muranga Seal
20.2%

Draw
30.8%

AFC Leopards
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

30.9%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

30.3%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muranga Seal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Muranga Seal's form might have worsened.

AFC Leopards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AFC Leopards's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muranga Seal than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Muranga Seal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Leopards than the current prediction. (-5%)

Muranga Seal - AFC Leopards Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 0 - 1, Sichenje R. ⚽,
82', 0 - 2, Beja H. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 2).

In recent matches, Muranga has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Leopards is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Leopards has had a series of home games.

Leopards could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muranga won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Muranga won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Leopards	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Muranga	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

AFC Leopards - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 43.01%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Muranga Seal
Kenyan Premier League
29.03.26	Shabana - Muranga Seal	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Muranga Seal - Mathare United	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Kenya CB - Muranga Seal	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Muranga Seal - Posta Rangers	1:0 ✺
25.02.26	Tusker - Muranga Seal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTTWL
- AFC Leopards
Kenyan Premier League
29.03.26	AFC Leopards - Kariobangi Sharks	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	AFC Leopards - Tusker	1:0 ✺
18.03.26	AFC Leopards - Nairobi United	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Mathare United - AFC Leopards	4:1 ✺
01.03.26	AFC Leopards - Shabana	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
16.11.25	AFC Leopards - Muranga Seal	0:0
25.01.25	AFC Leopards - Muranga Seal	1:1
23.10.24	Muranga Seal - AFC Leopards	1:0
11.02.24	AFC Leopards - Muranga Seal	1:0
20.12.23	Muranga Seal - AFC Leopards	1:1

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