Match Info

Premier League - Round 27

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	Gor Mahia		Kariobangi Sharks

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.35	5.15
	1.61	3.32	5.23
	1.63	3.44	5.33	Watch
	1.57	3.5	5
	1.61	3.89	4.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.5)	3.5 ↓ (3.69)	5.13 ↓ (6.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gor Mahia
56.4%

Draw
25.9%

Kariobangi Sharks
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

24.8%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

23.3%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gor Mahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Kariobangi Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gor Mahia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kariobangi Sharks than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Gor Mahia - Kariobangi Sharks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gor Mahia won 5.

Gor Mahia has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kariobangi Sharks has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kariobangi Sharks may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gor Mahia is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Gor Mahia will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Gor Mahia won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:15. (average 1.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Gor Mahia won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 1.6:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Gor Mahia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gor Mahia
Kenyan Premier League
21.03.26	Gor Mahia - Shabana	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Ulinzi Stars - Gor Mahia	1:3 ✺
05.03.26	Posta Rangers - Gor Mahia	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Gor Mahia - Mathare United	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Gor Mahia - Kenya CB	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWTWW
- Kariobangi Sharks
Kenyan Premier League
29.03.26	AFC Leopards - Kariobangi Sharks	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Kariobangi Sharks - Posta Rangers	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Shabana - Kariobangi Sharks	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Kariobangi Sharks - Tusker	1:2 ✺
26.02.26	APS Bomet - Kariobangi Sharks	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
06.01.26	Kariobangi Sharks - Gor Mahia	1:4
Kenyan FKF Cup
01.05.25	Kariobangi Sharks - Gor Mahia	0:2
Kenyan Premier League
05.03.25	Kariobangi Sharks - Gor Mahia	1:3
22.12.24	Gor Mahia - Kariobangi Sharks	1:0
13.01.24	Gor Mahia - Kariobangi Sharks	1:0
03.12.23	Kariobangi Sharks - Gor Mahia	1:2
09.04.23	Gor Mahia - Kariobangi Sharks	2:0

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