Match Info

Premier League - Round 25

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Muranga Seal		Mathare United

	1	X	2
	2.12	2.98	3.25
	2.15	3.06	3.31	Watch
	2.15	3	3.3
	2.14	2.9	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.15)	2.99 ↓ (3.06)	3.25 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Muranga Seal
42.1%

Draw
30.2%

Mathare United
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

29.9%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

29.1%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muranga Seal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Mathare United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muranga Seal than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Muranga Seal - Mathare United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 1 - 0, ⚽,
62', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Mathare United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Muranga might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Muranga won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Muranga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Muranga	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Muranga Seal
Kenyan Premier League
15.03.26	Kenya CB - Muranga Seal	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Muranga Seal - Posta Rangers	1:0 ✺
25.02.26	Tusker - Muranga Seal	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Muranga Seal - Bandari	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	Sofapaka - Muranga Seal	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWLLW
- Mathare United
Kenyan Premier League
14.03.26	Mathare United - AFC Leopards	4:1 ✺
28.02.26	Gor Mahia - Mathare United	2:1 ✺
25.02.26	Mathare United - Shabana	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Kariobangi Sharks - Mathare United	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Mathare United - Tusker	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
10.01.26	Mathare United - Muranga Seal	0:2
02.03.25	Muranga Seal - Mathare United	1:1
10.12.24	Mathare United - Muranga Seal	0:2

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