Match Info
Premier League - Round 28Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday
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Kariobangi Sharks |
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Mara Sugar |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.15 |
2.92 |
3.3 |
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 |
2.23 |
2.89 |
3.25 |
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2.28 |
2.85 |
3.3 |
 Watch |
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2.9 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
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2.24 |
2.88 |
3.26 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↓
(2.8) |
2.81 ↑
(2.75) |
3.12 ↑
(2.65) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Kariobangi Sharks
38.5% | Draw
32.4% | Mara Sugar
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kariobangi Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kariobangi Sharks's performance.Mara Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mara Sugar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kariobangi Sharks than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kariobangi Sharks that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mara Sugar than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mara Sugar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Kariobangi Sharks - Mara Sugar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 11).Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Kariobangi Sharks may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Kariobangi Sharks has had a series of away games. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kariobangi Sharks won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 16 | Mara Sugar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Kariobangi Sharks - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.52%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Mara Sugar - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.36%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Kenyan Premier League | | | 13.12.25 | Mara Sugar - Kariobangi Sharks | 2:0 | | 14.12.24 | Mara Sugar - Kariobangi Sharks | 1:0 |
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