Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group III - Round 32

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday


	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra		Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.25	2.65
	2.54	3.52	2.29
	2.54	3.52	2.3
	2.6	3.42	2.33	Watch
	2.2	3.7	2.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (1.9)	3.48 ↓ (3.9)	2.43 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
37.1%

Draw
25.9%

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

23.3%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

22.3%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karkonosze Jelenia Góra's form might have worsened.

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Lubaski A. ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 2, Letkiewicz M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Karkonosze Jelenia Góra is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Karkonosze Jelenia Góra won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Karkonosze Jelenia Góra won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Polish Division 3 - Group III
18.05.24	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	2:1 ✺
14.05.24	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:1 ✺
11.05.24	Odra Bytom Odrzański - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	0:0 ✺
04.05.24	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	1:1 ✺
27.04.24	Starowice Dolne - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTTTW
- TS Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry
Polish Division 3 - Group III
18.05.24	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:1 ✺
15.05.24	Lechia Zielona Góra - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	2:1 ✺
11.05.24	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Raków Częstochowa II	2:3 ✺
04.05.24	Pniówek Pawłowice - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	2:2 ✺
27.04.24	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Śląsk Wrocław 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
04.11.23	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	0:1
20.11.21	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	2:1
07.08.21	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	1:2

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