The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Karlberg 27%
Draw 23.3%
Umeå 49.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.4%
25.6%
43%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.4%
23.4%
39.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karlberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Umeå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Umeå's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlberg than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karlberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Umeå, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Karlberg - Umeå Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Alpek C. (G) 6. Hamidi A. 10. Karki A. (C) 2. Karlsson A. 20. Martiatu Nordeman A. 27. Mbye M. 11. Muyenga A. 12. Persson D. 28. Sandberg M. 4. Westerberg J. 17. Wiorek A.
1. Eriksson P. (G) 10. Cissoko K. 20. Hassan H. 16. Hedstrom J. 11. Hofvander W. 6. Lindmark S. (C) 17. Naslund A. 4. Ohman L. 19. Olsson T. 7. Sandstrom A. 15. Westin T.
Substitutes
23. Dudziak K. 21. Khan A. 15. Lundgren A. 25. Rydell A. 9. Sanchez T. 1. Wallberg J. (G) 26. Ward K.
26. Ekman D. 29. Eriksson P. 13. Hellgren A. (G) 23. Johansson I. 5. Kihlgren O. 9. Larsson A. 28. Vikgren L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Cissoko K. ⚽,
12', Mbye M. 🟨,
29', Naslund A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', Naslund A. ↓, Vikgren L. ↑,
65', Muyenga A. ↓, Sanchez T. ↑,
65', Mbye M. ↓, Dudziak K. ↑,
69', Ohman L. ↓, Ekman D. ↑,
69', Sandstrom A. ↓, Larsson A. ↑,
80', Sandberg M. ↓, Rydell A. ↑,
81', Wiorek A. ↓, Khan A. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Martiatu Nordeman A. ⚽, Khan A. (A),
89', Hassan H. ↓, Kihlgren O. ↑,
90+1', Martiatu Nordeman A. ↓, Lundgren A. ↑,
90+3', Hofvander W. 🟨,
90+6', Lundgren A. 🟨,
90+10', 1 - 2, Hofvander W. ⚽,
90+11', 2 - 2, Dudziak K. (Pen),
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Superettan).
Recent matches Karlberg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Umeå is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Umeå could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Umeå will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Karlberg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
Sweden
Watch
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Alpek C. (G) 
Sandberg M. 
Cissoko K. 
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