The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Assyriska Föreningen 28.9%
Draw 23.9%
Arlanda 47.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.2%
25.4%
38.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.4%
25.5%
38.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Assyriska Föreningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Assyriska Föreningen's form might have worsened.
Arlanda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arlanda's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Assyriska Föreningen than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Assyriska Föreningen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arlanda than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arlanda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Assyriska Föreningen - Arlanda Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Osayi K. (G) 23. Asberg V. (C) 12. Edgren S. 19. Jovanovic N. 6. Kalabane A. 18. Larrain M. 17. Nnamani S. 2. Sjoblom E. 3. Tahwildaran L. 4. Wandin S. 14. Widerberg V.
1. Smedberg Lagh A. (G) 11. Ahmed M. 15. Antholm I. 22. Butros M. 18. Carlsson J. 10. Charbachi A. 3. Fredricson H. 27. Johansson E. 21. Kleist L. 19. Rydz S. 7. Yemane Y. (C)
Substitutes
11. Goncalves Karlstedt J. 13. Jacob A. 24. Jacob A. 9. Jonsson L. 15. Khomenko V. 8. Nordeman A. 21. Ronnelow L. (G)
5. Bergstedt O. 16. Drugge J. 20. Giordano Eriksson I. 30. Karo A. (G) 25. Koroma R. 12. Nyman L. 24. Saeed A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Larrain M. 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Yemane Y. ⚽,
27', Edgren S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 0 - 2, Rydz S. ⚽,
63', Wandin S. ↓, Nordeman A. ↑,
63', Antholm I. ↓, Saeed A. ↑,
63', Ahmed M. ↓, Drugge J. ↑,
72', Yemane Y. ↓, Nyman L. ↑,
74', Nnamani S. ↓, Jonsson L. ↑,
82', Edgren S. ↓, Goncalves Karlstedt J. ↑,
82', 0 - 3, Charbachi A. ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 3, Jonsson L. ⚽, Nordeman A. (A),
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 9th and 4th).
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Arlanda could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Assyriska FF has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:4 (averaging 0.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Assyriska FF against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.