The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Karlberg 35.9%
Draw 25.4%
Vasalund 38.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.8%
25.7%
33.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.8%
24.5%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karlberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Vasalund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vasalund's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlberg than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karlberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasalund than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vasalund, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Karlberg - Vasalund Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Bojang E. (G) 7. Fernandez H. 25. Hogberg F. 16. Jansson M. 19. Jemal A. 18. Lalic M. 8. Negash N. 2. Nieminen Eriksson F. 12. Sequar A. (C) 24. Sietsema L. 3. Steen V.
1. Olafsson S. (G) 21. Bajrovic M. (C) 19. Dejene M. 2. Kallman L. 11. Khan A. 10. Nikolic M. 28. Ostergren M. 14. Sliwo C. 5. Soelberg P. 12. Torppa E. 26. Westin T.
Substitutes
4. Backman A. 5. Basaric B. 31. Ciber Y. (G) 14. Fati A. 15. Hall V. 9. Jamshidi A. 21. Nilsson F.
24. Bilgec B. 4. Degerlund M. 23. Gentele T. 15. Lukic F. 8. Lundstrom J. 9. Mac Callum E. 30. Stattin I. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Sequar A. ⚽, Sietsema L. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Dejene M. ⚽, Nikolic M. (A),
36', Kallman L. 🟨,
43', Jansson M. 🟨,
43', Soelberg P. 🟨,
43', Dejene M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
58', 1 - 2, Dejene M. ⚽, Khan A. (A),
66', Jansson M. ↓, Hall V. ↑,
71', Nikolic M. 🟨,
74', Fernandez H. ↓, Jamshidi A. ↑,
76', Nikolic M. ↓, Lundstrom J. ↑,
81', 2 - 2, Jamshidi A. ⚽,
86', Sliwo C. ↓, Mac Callum E. ↑,
86', Dejene M. ↓, Bilgec B. ↑,
90', Steen V. ↓, Backman A. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 2, Hall V. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 3, Mac Callum E. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 10th and 13th in the Division 1 - Relegation Promotion - Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karlberg won 2.
Karlberg has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Vasalund has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Karlberg could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Karlberg has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:16 (averaging 1.9:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Karlberg against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 12:9 goals (averaging 2.4:1.8 per game).
Sweden
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Bojang E. (G) 
Olafsson S. (G) 
Bajrovic M. (C) 
Khan A. 
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