Match Info

UKRAINE: PERSHA LIGA - ROUND 16

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Karpaty Lviv		Ahrobiznes Volochysk

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.2	6.75
	1.36	4.38	7.99
	1.37	4.39	7.99
	1.29	4.2	8
	1.35	4.45	8.6
	1.37	4.2	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.51)	4.3 ↑ (3.9)	7.86 ↑ (5.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karpaty Lviv
67.3%

Draw
21.2%

Ahrobiznes Volochysk
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

23.3%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

23.4%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karpaty Lviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karpaty Lviv's performance.

Ahrobiznes Volochysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karpaty Lviv than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karpaty Lviv that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ahrobiznes Volochysk than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Karpaty Lviv - Ahrobiznes Volochysk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kozhukhar A. (G) 3. Baboglo V. 8. Chachua A. 19. Klymenko V. 26. Kostenko Y. 2. Mizyuk O. 10. Neves I. 28. Polegenko P. 16. Ryabov A. 44. Sakiv T. 27. Sukhar T.	1. Popovych A. (G) 4. Barylyak R. 27. Galenkov D. 10. Kuzmyn R. 28. Len O. 5. Myachyn V. 92. Shostak D. 21. Tolochko R. 9. Tyapkin M. 6. Tyshyninov V. 22. Zayets S.
Substitutes
71. Chekh M. 17. Demchenko Y. 23. Eduardo 31. Ilyushchenkov O. (G) 20. Ravlyk V. 47. Romanyuk Y. 33. Shakh A. 22. Veklyak B.	14. Bilyi R. 44. Datsenko S. 2. Gavrushko I. 17. Grytsak N. 71. Khmelovsky D. (G) 99. Kvasnyi M. 50. Minchev M. (G) 77. Svystun Vadymovych K. 8. Teplyi V. 23. Volkov D. 97. Zorenko V.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Persha Liga (Promotion Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Persha Liga (Promotion Group: )).

Karpaty is Qualified for Persha Liga (Promotion Group )

Karpaty is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ahrobiznes is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Karpaty could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Karpaty is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Karpaty won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Karpaty won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karpaty Lviv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
05.11.23	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Karpaty Lviv	3:2 ✺
29.10.23	Karpaty Lviv - Metalist Kharkiv	3:0 ✺
21.10.23	Kudrivka - Karpaty Lviv	0:1 ✺
15.10.23	Karpaty Lviv - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	3:3 ✺
08.10.23	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Karpaty Lviv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWTW
- Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Ukrainian Persha Liga
03.11.23	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Nyva Ternopil	2:1 ✺
27.10.23	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Khust	3:0 ✺
13.10.23	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	1:1 ✺
06.10.23	Metalist Kharkiv - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
09.09.23	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Karpaty Lviv	0:1
Club Friendly
05.07.19	Karpaty Lviv - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	2:0
01.07.18	Karpaty Lviv - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	1:1

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