Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday

Location: Obolon Arena (Kyiv)

Referee: Kopiyevsky V. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Kudrivka		Karpaty Lviv

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.3
	4.05	3.65	1.8
	4.32	3.74	1.79
	2.25	3.59	2.89	Watch
	4	3.5	1.8
	4.25	3.88	1.85	Watch
	4	3.45	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↓ (4.7)	3.62 ↑ (3.41)	2.04 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kudrivka
26.2%

Draw
26.6%

Karpaty Lviv
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

26.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

24.9%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kudrivka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kudrivka's performance.

Karpaty Lviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karpaty Lviv might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kudrivka than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kudrivka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karpaty Lviv than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karpaty Lviv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	22.2%	66.7%

Kudrivka - Karpaty Lviv Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Kudrivka will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Karpaty will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karpaty: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Karpaty (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Yashkov A. (C) 33. Morozko Y. 17. Serdyuk M. 13. Shapoval V. 91. Melnychuk M. 66. Losenko I. 19. Dumanyuk A. 8. Storchous A. 9. Kozak O. 77. Lyegostayev A. 78. Rogozynskyi V.	30. Klishchuk A. (G) 28. Polegenko P. 4. Baboglo V. 47. Jean Pedroso 11. Miroshnichenko D. (C) 23. Alvarez P. 8. Chachua A. 37. Bruninho 7. Paulo V. 95. Krasnopir I. 33. Shakh A.
Substitutes
21. Bezborodko D. 97. Demchenko A. 30. Gusev O. 7. Korkishko D. 73. Kulyk M. (G) 1. Lyopka R. (G) 39. Machelyuk A. 14. Matveev K. 29. Purulent D. 27. Pushkaryov O. 20. Svityukha D. 22. Veklyak B.	3. Adamyuk V. 1. Domchak N. (G) 9. Fabiano 17. Fedor O. 19. Karabin Y. 18. Klymenko V. 22. Kokodynyak Y. 14. Kvasnytsya I. 2. Kyrychok M. 80. Mysak R. (G) 10. Neves I. 25. Palacios D.
Coaches
Baranov V.	Lupashko V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Rogozynskyi V. ⚽, Storchous A. (A),
22', Jean Pedroso 🟨,
26', Baboglo V. 🟥,
32', Morozko Y. 🟨,
33', Paulo V. ↓, Adamyuk V. ↑,
41', Miroshnichenko D. 🟨,
43', 2 - 0, Storchous A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 2 - 1, Alvarez P. ⚽,
62', Morozko Y. ↓, Machelyuk A. ↑,
62', Kozak O. ↓, Svityukha D. ↑,
69', Shakh A. ↓, Fabiano ↑,
69', Miroshnichenko D. ↓, Klymenko V. ↑,
69', Krasnopir I. ↓, Neves I. ↑,
70', Losenko I. 🟨,
71', Rogozynskyi V. ↓, Korkishko D. ↑,
71', Storchous A. ↓, Nagnoynyi D. ↑,
72', Svityukha D. 🟨,
79', Losenko I. ↓, Veklyak B. ↑,
81', Alvarez P. ↓, Fedor O. ↑,
90+5', Nagnoynyi D. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 2, Jean Pedroso ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Karpaty is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kudrivka won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Kudrivka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kudrivka
Ukrainian Cup
23.08.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Kudrivka	1:0 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
17.08.25	Kudrivka - Poltava	3:1 ✺
11.08.25	Zorya Luhansk - Kudrivka	2:1 ✺
03.08.25	Kudrivka - Oleksandriya	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Kudrivka - Veres Rivne	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWLWL
- Karpaty Lviv
Ukrainian Cup
24.08.25	Penuel - Karpaty Lviv	0:8 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
16.08.25	Kolos Kovalivka - Karpaty Lviv	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Karpaty Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk	3:3 ✺
03.08.25	Karpaty Lviv - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.25	Karpaty Lviv - Leicester City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
21.10.23	Kudrivka - Karpaty Lviv	0:1
18.08.23	Karpaty Lviv - Kudrivka	1:1

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