Match Info

UKRAINE: Premier League - Round 7

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Chornomorets (Odesa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	GONET.TV
Czech-republic	goNET TV
Poland	GONETV
Slovakia	goNET TV


	Chornomorets Odesa		Karpaty Lviv

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.2	2.05
	3.75	3.2	2.05
	3.85	3.18	2.04
	3.85	3.29	2	Watch
	3.75	3.2	1.91
	3.94	3.27	2.11	Watch
	3.75	3.2	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (2.43)	3.22 ↑ (3.19)	2.03 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chornomorets Odesa
24.6%

Draw
29.1%

Karpaty Lviv
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

28.9%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

28.6%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chornomorets Odesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chornomorets Odesa's form might have worsened.

Karpaty Lviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karpaty Lviv's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chornomorets Odesa than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chornomorets Odesa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karpaty Lviv than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karpaty Lviv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Chornomorets Odesa - Karpaty Lviv Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Chornomorets will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Karpaty will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rudko A. (G) 2. Butko B. (C) 86. Udod D. 34. Latsabidze L. 39. Skyba Y. 77. Kysil Y. 6. Caio Gomes 28. Gabelok A. 16. Biloshevskyi B. 7. Petryak I. 9. Khoblenko O.	35. Kemkin O. (G) 11. Miroshnichenko D. (C) 4. Baboglo V. 3. Adamyuk V. 44. Sakiv T. 8. Chachua A. 23. Alvarez P. 20. Ocheretko O. 43. Stenio 10. Neves I. 37. Bruninho
Substitutes
44. Jarju M. 4. Lototskyi B. 70. Neto J. 11. Popov K. 33. Pshenychnyuk O. 5. Savchenko R. 90. Shevtsov I. 14. Sigeev K. 27. Vasyliev O. 71. Vichnyi Y. (G) 17. Yanakov D. 3. Yermakov V.	47. Jean Pedroso 1. Kinareykin Y. (G) 18. Klymenko V. 26. Kostenko Y. 17. Kuzyk O. 7. Pidlepenets E. 28. Polegenko P. 16. Ryabov A. 33. Shakh A. 9. Tlumak Y. 13. Ustymenko D. 22. Veklyak B.
Coaches
Babych O.	Lupashko V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Udod D. 🟨,
34', Petryak I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, ⚽,
54', 🟨,
64', 🟥,
70', 🟨,
70', 🟨,
85', 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chornomorets won 1.

Recent matches Chornomorets is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Karpaty is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Chornomorets won 3 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Chornomorets won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chornomorets Odesa
Ukrainian Premier League
14.09.24	Chornomorets Odesa - Inhulets	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Chornomorets Odesa - Polissya Zhytomyr	1:4 ✺
26.08.24	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Chornomorets Odesa	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
21.08.24	Karpaty Lviv - Chornomorets Odesa	3:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
16.08.24	Chornomorets Odesa - Kolos Kovalivka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLLW
- Karpaty Lviv
Ukrainian Premier League
14.09.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Karpaty Lviv	5:2 ✺
31.08.24	Karpaty Lviv - Vorskla Poltava	1:1 ✺
26.08.24	LNZ Cherkasy - Karpaty Lviv	2:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
21.08.24	Karpaty Lviv - Chornomorets Odesa	3:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
17.08.24	Karpaty Lviv - Dynamo Kyiv	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Cup
21.08.24	Karpaty Lviv - Chornomorets Odesa	3:0
Ukrainian Premier League
21.05.19	Chornomorets Odesa - Karpaty Lviv	3:1
23.04.19	Karpaty Lviv - Chornomorets Odesa	0:0
28.10.18	Chornomorets Odesa - Karpaty Lviv	0:5
29.07.18	Karpaty Lviv - Chornomorets Odesa	1:0
05.05.18	Chornomorets Odesa - Karpaty Lviv	1:1
31.03.18	Karpaty Lviv - Chornomorets Odesa	3:1

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