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Current Win Probability
Chornomorets Odesa 16.9%
Draw 23.7%
Karpaty Lviv 59.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
19%
24.8%
56.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.6%
24.2%
57.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chornomorets Odesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Karpaty Lviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chornomorets Odesa than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karpaty Lviv than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Chornomorets Odesa - Karpaty Lviv Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Karpaty will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Aniagboso C. (G) 27. Pushkaryov O. 24. Jarju M. 60. Melnychenko M. 74. Faryna M. 5. Kurko V. (C) 7. Alefirenko D. 30. Jobe M. 18. Robakidze G. 9. Khoma A. 99. Mba C.
80. Mysak R. (G) 11. Miroshnichenko D. 4. Baboglo V. (C) 47. Jean Pedroso 17. Vantukh R. 8. Chachua A. 18. Eriki 7. Fellipe Vieira 70. Alkain X. 9. Sery J. 31. Rusyn N.
Substitutes
10. Avagimyan A. 16. Bayda N. (G) 13. Faraseyenko V. 23. Gusev O. 21. Klymenko V. 8. Klyots D. 17. Kogut I. 19. Kogut M. 22. Korniychuk S. 35. Koval M. (G) 4. Kratov M.
58. Antonyuk V. 14. Calero I. 28. Dyedov O. 30. Glots S. 21. Iglesias Lois B. 19. Karabin Y. 22. Kokodynyak Y. 73. Lyakh R. 1. Marchenko D. (G) 10. Moha Moukhliss 55. Stetskov T. 36. Zhylkin A. (G)
Coaches
Grygorchuk R.
Fernandez F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Jean Pedroso 🟥,
8', Pushkaryov O. 🟨,
8', Jarju M. 🟨,
11', Sery J. ↓, Stetskov T. ↑,
33', Stetskov T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kurko V. ↓, Avagimyan A. ↑,
46', Eriki ↓, Moha Moukhliss ↑,
46', Fellipe Vieira ↓, Lyakh R. ↑,
48', Moha Moukhliss 🟨,
67', Miroshnichenko D. ↓, Calero I. ↑,
67', Robakidze G. ↓, Klyots D. ↑,
71', Baboglo V. 🟨,
76', Rusyn N. ↓, Dyedov O. ↑,
82', Khoma A. ↓, Faraseyenko V. ↑,
90+2', Mysak R. 🟨,
90+3', Vantukh R. 🟨,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 14th in the Persha Liga (Relegation) and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chornomorets won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Chornomorets (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Karpaty has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Chornomorets could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, Karpaty enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Chornomorets has recorded 3 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:28 (averaging 0.5:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chornomorets against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with 5:8 goals (averaging 0.6:0.9 per game).
Ukraine
International
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Aniagboso C. (G) 
Pushkaryov O. 
Jarju M. 
Robakidze G. 
Baboglo V. (C) 
Jean Pedroso 
Alkain X. 
Sery J. 
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