Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	KV Mechelen		Karpaty Lviv

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.50	2.80
	2.05	3.35	3.05
	2.05	3.43	3.09
	2.22	3.48	3
	1.99	3.35	3.05
	2.1	3.89	2.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.06)	3.5 ↓ (4.08)	2.98 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

KV Mechelen
43.6%

Draw
25.9%

Karpaty Lviv
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

22.8%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

23.1%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Karpaty Lviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karpaty Lviv than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

KV Mechelen - Karpaty Lviv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. De Wolf O. (G) 28. Boersma B. 20. Corbanie K. 30. Decherf M. 44. Eerdhuijzen M. 6. Hammar F. 7. Koudou T. 3. Marsa J. 23. Michez S. 14. Raman B. 9. van Brederode M.	80. Mysak R. (G) 8. Chachua A. (C) 21. Iglesias Lois B. 47. Jean Pedroso 19. Karabin Y. 11. Miroshnichenko D. 10. Moha Moukhliss 20. Sapuga M. 9. Sery J. 55. Stetskov T. 17. Vantukh R.
Substitutes
11. Bafdili B. 4. Diouf G. 2. Marijnissen L. 49. Van Helden M. 15. Van Ingelgom T. (G) 17. Van Meirvenne C.	70. Alkain X. 14. Calero I. . Cheberynchak A. 28. Dyedov O. 1. Gereta Y. (G) 59. Kalinets E. 26. Kostenko Y. 73. Lyakh R. 36. Zhylkin A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Sery J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
54', 1 - 1, Boersma B. ⚽,
70', 1 - 2, ⚽,
71', 2 - 2, van Brederode M. ⚽,
77', 2 - 3, ⚽,
78', 🟥,

Preview

Mechelen is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Karpaty has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Mechelen is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
19.09.26	Lommel - KV Mechelen	0:0 ✺
11.09.26	KV Mechelen - Anderlecht	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	KV Mechelen - Westerlo	0:4 ✺
29.08.26	RAAL La Louvière - KV Mechelen	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Charleroi - KV Mechelen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLTL
- Karpaty Lviv
Ukrainian Premier League
20.09.26	Karpaty Lviv - Veres Rivne	1:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
16.09.26	Kolos Kovalivka - Karpaty Lviv	2:3 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
11.09.26	Kolos Kovalivka - Karpaty Lviv	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Karpaty Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Karpaty Lviv	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWWLT

Upcoming Matches