Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 9

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Oleksandriya		Feniks-Mariupol

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.40	4.60
	1.65	3.4	4.8
	1.65	3.5	4.4
	1.61	3.62	5.3	Watch
	1.66	3.4	4.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.61)	3.46 ↓ (3.62)	4.8 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oleksandriya
55%

Draw
26.1%

Feniks-Mariupol
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

25.4%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

24.8%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleksandriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Feniks-Mariupol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksandriya than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feniks-Mariupol than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Oleksandriya - Feniks Mariupol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Klishchuk A. (G) 3. Adamyuk V. 10. Buletsa S. (C) 5. Dykhtyaruk O. 4. Gavrylyuk N. 44. Jhonnatan 30. Kopyna Y. 14. Kuzmyn R. 22. Skorko D. 21. Tolochko R. 9. Tretyakov M.	1. Zhupanskyi V. (G) 15. Chornomorets O. 2. Gagun R. 14. Grytsak N. 6. Gunichev Y. 5. Khakhlyov O. 11. Kucherov V. 20. Nikolyshyn O. 10. Orikhovskyi P. 29. Remenyak A. 33. Sydorenko V. (C)
Substitutes
40. Chernysh D. 35. Danylo G. 2. Dmytruk T. 1. Dolgyi V. (G) 25. Kozak O. 77. Kremchanin D. 94. Melnyk O. 16. Prytula O. 8. Storchous A. 61. Stovba M. (G) 90. Vlasyuk D.	97. Herega A. 7. Kovalyuk R. 8. Kukharuk A. 9. Kyslenko S. 17. Maletsky P. 12. Oryshchak S. (G) 3. Sydorenko D. 21. Tsyurpalevych-Semochko K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Buletsa S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Grytsak N. ↓, Kyslenko S. ↑,
57', Khakhlyov O. ↓, Kukharuk A. ↑,
57', Remenyak A. ↓, Kovalyuk R. ↑,
63', Kopyna Y. ↓, Chernysh D. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Sydorenko V. ⚽,
70', Tretyakov M. 🟨,
72', Buletsa S. ↓, Storchous A. ↑,
83', Kuzmyn R. ↓, Kremchanin D. ↑,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 4th in the Promotion ~ Persha Liga (Relegation: ) and 8th).

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Bookmakers give the edge to Oleksandriya for this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Oleksandriya has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:0.

Specifically in home fixtures for Oleksandriya against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Oleksandriya	10	5	4	1	15:7	8	19
7	Fenix Mariupol	10	4	3	3	12:11	1	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFC Oleksandriya
Ukrainian Persha Liga
20.09.26	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Oleksandriya	1:0 ✺
14.09.26	Oleksandriya - Viktoriya Sumy	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
09.09.26	Probiy Horodenka - Oleksandriya	1:2 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
05.09.26	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Oleksandriya	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Oleksandriya - Chernihiv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWTW
- Feniks-Mariupol
Ukrainian Persha Liga
20.09.26	Feniks-Mariupol - Polissya Zhytomyr 2	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Probiy Horodenka - Feniks-Mariupol	0:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
09.09.26	Feniks-Mariupol - Zorya Luhansk	0:2 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
05.09.26	Feniks-Mariupol - Kulykiv-Bilka	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Feniks-Mariupol	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.07.23	Oleksandriya - Feniks-Mariupol	1:0

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