Match Info

AZERBAIJAN: I Liqa - Round 18

Date: 13 March 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Qaradağ Lökbatan		Karvan

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.92	3.46	2
	3.25	3.8	1.83
	3.08	3.55	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (4.26)	3.6 ↓ (4.2)	1.95 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qaradağ Lökbatan
29.1%

Draw
24.9%

Karvan
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

21.6%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

20.9%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qaradağ Lökbatan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Qaradağ Lökbatan's performance.

Karvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karvan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qaradağ Lökbatan than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Qaradağ Lökbatan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karvan than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karvan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Qaradağ Lökbatan - Karvan Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Qaradağ will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Karvan will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Balijani S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, Morgan E. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 2).

Qaradağ is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Karvan is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Qaradağ have a series of guest games.

In this match Karvan is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Qaradağ won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.2:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Qaradağ won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qaradağ Lökbatan
Azerbaijan First Division
06.03.25	MOIK Baku - Qaradağ Lökbatan	2:2 ✺
28.02.25	Qaradağ Lökbatan - İmişli	0:1 ✺
20.02.25	Difai Ağsu - Qaradağ Lökbatan	2:1 ✺
14.02.25	Baku Sporting - Qaradağ Lökbatan	3:2 ✺
07.02.25	Mingachevir - Qaradağ Lökbatan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLLLT
- Karvan FK
Azerbaijan First Division
07.03.25	Karvan - Zagatala	3:2 ✺
28.02.25	Gabala - Karvan	2:0 ✺
19.02.25	Cəbrayıl - Karvan	1:1 ✺
13.02.25	Karvan - MOIK Baku	3:1 ✺
06.02.25	İmişli - Karvan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Cup
30.10.24	Qaradağ Lökbatan - Karvan	3:0
Azerbaijan First Division
11.09.24	Karvan - Qaradağ Lökbatan	1:0
18.04.24	Karvan - Qaradağ Lökbatan	0:1
15.02.24	Qaradağ Lökbatan - Karvan	0:1
25.10.23	Karvan - Qaradağ Lökbatan	1:2

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