Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Referee: Qurbanov T. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Karvan		Sabah

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.5	4.05	1.41
	7.72	4.22	1.42
	8.00	4.10	1.40	Watch
	6.85	4.2	1.4	Watch
	7.8	4.5	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.37 ↓ (7.82)	4.21 ↓ (4.41)	1.39 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karvan
12.4%

Draw
21.8%

Sabah
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.6%

20.6%

67.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.3%

20.1%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karvan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Sabah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karvan than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Karvan - Sabah Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ibrahimov K. (G) 6. Abdullayev V. (C) 21. Barker I. 4. Doyeni O. 3. Irankhah S. 8. Kings P. 12. Rosa V. 2. Sno S. 11. Spence K. C. 19. Thompson G. 33. Turabov E.	92. Pokatilov S. (C) 88. Aliyev K. 5. Dashdamirov R. 13. Lepinjica I. 20. Mickels J. 11. Parris K. 27. Puchacz T. 33. Rakhmonaliyev U. 21. Simic V. 3. Solvet S. 80. Zedadka A.
Substitutes
77. Abdullayev A. 18. Ahmadov S. 22. Alizada Q. 25. Bulud A. (G) 14. Cahangirov U. 5. Chachashvili N. 10. Durrant S. 13. Masimov V. 37. Ngwisani M. 42. Qadirzada I. 32. Yunuszada E.	53. Andrey 6. Khaybulaev A. 19. Malouda A. 55. Mehbaliyev N. (G) 17. Mutallimov T. 10. Nuriyev A. 72. Samigullin R. (G) 2. Seydiyev A.
Coaches
Hashimov A.	Dambrauskas V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
31', 0 - 1, Mickels J. (Pen),
37', 0 - 2, Parris K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Spence K. C. ↓, Durrant S. ↑,
46', Rosa V. ↓, Alizada Q. ↑,
59', Kings P. ↓, Cahangirov U. ↑,
71', Turabov E. ↓, Yunuszada E. ↑,
75', Aliyev K. ↓, Malouda A. ↑,
75', Parris K. ↓, Nuriyev A. ↑,
89', Rakhmonaliyev U. ↓, Khaybulaev A. ↑,
89', Puchacz T. ↓, Seydiyev A. ↑,
90+12', Mickels J. ↓, Mutallimov T. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 and 8)

Karvan has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sabah's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sabah may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sabah is the obvious favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karvan FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
27.09.25	Neftchi Baku - Karvan	0:0 ✺
19.09.25	Karvan - İmişli	0:3 ✺
14.09.25	Shamakhi - Karvan	3:0 ✺
31.08.25	Karvan - Qarabağ Agdam	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Kapaz - Karvan	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 TLLLW
- Sabah Baku FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
28.09.25	Sabah - Sumgayit	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Sabah - Turan Tovuz	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Neftchi Baku - Sabah	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	Sabah - İmişli	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Shamakhi - Sabah	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWTLW

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