Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Neftci Arena (Baku)

Referee: Rahimov K. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Neftchi Baku		Karvan

	1	X	2
	1.21	5.3	11
	1.21	5.62	13.59
	1.2	5.45	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↑ (1.16)	5.46 ↓ (5.93)	12.2 ↓ (14.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftchi Baku
75.8%

Draw
16.8%

Karvan
7.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.4%

15.3%

6.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftchi Baku has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Karvan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Neftchi Baku - Karvan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Piric K. (G) 15. Badalov E. 6. D'Almeida S. 11. Faraj I. 17. Khachayev M. 8. Mahmudov E. (C) 22. Ortiz L. 77. Sacko F. 9. Sambou B. 24. Seck M. 10. Vargas F.	1. Ibrahimov K. (G) 6. Abdullayev V. (C) 21. Barker I. 4. Doyeni O. 3. Irankhah S. 8. Kings P. 12. Rosa V. 2. Sno S. 11. Spence K. C. 19. Thompson G. 33. Turabov E.
Substitutes
1. Balayev E. (G) 93. Cafarov R. (G) 4. Camalov E. 27. Costin C. 28. Curci A. 14. Kuc E. 47. Mammadov M. 23. Rezabala J. 7. Safarov E. 19. Salyanskiy A.	77. Abdullayev A. 18. Ahmadov S. 22. Alizada Q. 25. Bulud A. (G) 14. Cahangirov U. 5. Chachashvili N. 10. Durrant S. 13. Masimov V. 37. Ngwisani M. 42. Qadirzada I.
Coaches
Abasov S.	Hashimov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Sambou B. ↓, Salyanskiy A. ↑,
63', Ortiz L. ↓, Rezabala J. ↑,
64', Rosa V. ↓, Durrant S. ↑,
76', Kings P. ↓, Cahangirov U. ↑,
86', Mahmudov E. ↓, Curci A. ↑,
86', D'Almeida S. ↓, Kuc E. ↑,
86', Sacko F. ↓, Costin C. ↑,
87', 🟨,
90+5', Spence K. C. ↓, Ahmadov S. ↑,
90+6', Kuc E. 🟨,
90+6', Irankhah S. 🟨,
90+6', Faraj I. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 11).

Recent performances by Neftchi have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Karvan is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Neftchi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Neftchi is the undisputed favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League
21.09.25	Sumgayit - Neftchi Baku	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Neftchi Baku - Sabah	0:0 ✺
29.08.25	Neftchi Baku - Turan Tovuz	0:1 ✺
22.08.25	İmişli - Neftchi Baku	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Neftchi Baku - Shamakhi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTLTT
- Karvan FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
19.09.25	Karvan - İmişli	0:3 ✺
14.09.25	Shamakhi - Karvan	3:0 ✺
31.08.25	Karvan - Qarabağ Agdam	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Kapaz - Karvan	2:3 ✺
15.08.25	Karvan - Gabala	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LLLWT

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