Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Shamakhi City Stadium (Shamakhi)

Referee: Hajiyev F. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Shamakhi		Karvan

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.25	4.2
	1.76	3.39	4.49
	1.20	5.93	13.17	Watch
	1.86	3.28	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.88)	3.96 ↑ (3.24)	6.44 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shamakhi
60%

Draw
24.8%

Karvan
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

28.1%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shamakhi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shamakhi's performance.

Karvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karvan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Shamakhi - Karvan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Karvan (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Karvan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ricardo Fernandes (G) 82. Abbasov R. 5. Agcabayov A. 13. Apolinario R. 11. Balau D. 4. Cezar 44. David Santos 17. Maharramli R. (C) 8. Msanga A. 9. Rossi K. 10. Tircoveanu A.	1. Ibrahimov K. (G) 6. Abdullayev V. 14. Cahangirov U. 4. Doyeni O. 10. Durrant S. 3. Irankhah S. 8. Kings P. 13. Masimov V. 2. Sno S. 19. Thompson G. 32. Yunuszada E. (C)
Substitutes
6. Antonio Lara 14. Gafarov R. 99. Hashimov S. (G) 97. Mammadov O. 77. Mehraliyev N. 24. Muradly S. 62. Seyiahmadov A. (G) 19. Shuaibu A. 27. Suleymanov E. 3. Veremeev V.	77. Abdullayev A. 18. Ahmadov S. 21. Barker I. 25. Bulud A. (G) 5. Chachashvili N. 37. Ngwisani M. 42. Qadirzada I. 12. Rosa V. 33. Turabov E.
Coaches
Abbasov A.	Hashimov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', Apolinario R. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Msanga A. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Tircoveanu A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cahangirov U. ↓, Abdullayev A. ↑,
46', Masimov V. ↓, Ngwisani M. ↑,
57', Apolinario R. ↓, Suleymanov E. ↑,
63', Kings P. ↓, Rosa V. ↑,
69', Rossi K. ↓, Shuaibu A. ↑,
69', Msanga A. ↓, Mammadov O. ↑,
71', Abdullayev A. 🟨,
71', 3 - 0, Cezar ⚽,
73', Irankhah S. ↓, Barker I. ↑,
80', Balau D. ↓, Muradly S. ↑,
80', Tircoveanu A. ↓, Mehraliyev N. ↑,
83', Cezar 🟨,
85', Abdullayev V. ↓, Qadirzada I. ↑,
86', Ricardo Fernandes 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 7).

Shamakhi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shamakhi is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shamakhi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 4:2).

Including home match between the teams, Shamakhi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shamakhi FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
29.08.25	Sumgayit - Shamakhi	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Shamakhi - Sabah	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Neftchi Baku - Shamakhi	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	Shamakhi - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1 ✺
17.05.25	Shamakhi - Araz Naxçıvan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLTLL
- Karvan FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
31.08.25	Karvan - Qarabağ Agdam	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Kapaz - Karvan	2:3 ✺
15.08.25	Karvan - Gabala	1:1 ✺
Azerbaijan First Division
22.05.25	Mingachevir - Karvan	2:1 ✺
16.05.25	Karvan - Qaradağ Lökbatan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
07.03.24	Karvan - Shamakhi	0:6
24.11.23	Shamakhi - Karvan	2:4

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