Match Info

Chance Liga - Round 29

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Town Stadium Karvina (Karvina)

Referee: Vokoun D. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo


	Karviná		Slovan Liberec

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.15	3.35	2.15
	3.52	3.4	2.16
	3.08	3.62	2.16	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.1
	3.3	3.61	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.68)	3.46 ↑ (3.42)	2.12 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karviná
29%

Draw
27%

Slovan Liberec
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

27.2%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

27%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karviná has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karviná's form might have worsened.

Slovan Liberec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Slovan Liberec's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karviná, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slovan Liberec than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Slovan Liberec, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Karviná - Slovan Liberec Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Karviná will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Slovan Liberec will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Lapes J. (G) 6. Bohac S. (C) 44. Skyba Y. 49. Camara S. 19. Milic N. 8. Kristan J. 77. Storman R. 11. Kacor P. 10. Samko D. 14. Ayaosi E. 20. Kahuan Vinicius	40. Koubek T. (C) 8. Icha M. 3. Mikula J. 14. Drakpe A. 27. Kayondo A. 26. Masopust L. 30. Diakite T. 5. Hodous P. 20. Mahmic E. 7. Soliu A. 99. Krollis R.
Substitutes
24. Chytry J. 31. Conde O. 26. Ezeh L. 29. Fiala J. 25. Fleisman J. 93. Konate F. 3. Lawali Y. 34. Mrozek O. (G) 99. Prebsl F. 23. Schovanec O. (G) 4. Traore A.	24. Dulay P. 18. Kozeluh J. 1. Krajcirik I. (G) 21. Letenay L. 15. Lexa M. 29. Rus D. 11. Spatenka F. 12. Stransky V. 47. Sutr J. (G) 28. Sychra V.
Coaches
Jarolim M.	Kovac R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Krollis R. ⚽, Hodous P. (A),
7', 1 - 1, Kahuan Vinicius ⚽,
20', Kristan J. 🟨,
22', Milic N. 🟨,
22', Storman R. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
25', Skyba Y. 🟨,
33', Diakite T. 🟨,
42', Drakpe A. 🟨,
45+1', Kayondo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Milic N. ↓, Fleisman J. ↑,
61', Diakite T. 🟨,
64', Soliu A. ↓, Dulay P. ↑,
64', Masopust L. ↓, Lexa M. ↑,
64', Mahmic E. ↓, Stransky V. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Traore A. ⚽, Ayaosi E. (A),
76', Krollis R. ↓, Letenay L. ↑,
76', Hodous P. ↓, Sychra V. ↑,
77', 3 - 1, Kacor P. ⚽, Ayaosi E. (A),
82', Bohac S. ↓, Chytry J. ↑,
82', Kahuan Vinicius ↓, Fiala J. ↑,
87', Kacor P. 🟨,
88', Kacor P. ↓, Lawali Y. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 2.

Karviná is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Slovan Liberec has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Karviná may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Karviná: Sigut S. (Suspended)

There will not play in Slovan Liberec: Berbic H. (Injury) Gabriel S. (Knee Injury) Knapik J. (Knee Injury) Zyba Q. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Slovan Liberec: N'Guessan A. (Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:36. (average 1.2:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Karviná won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.4:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Liberec	10	6	2	2	13:6	7	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MFK Karviná
Czech 1 Liga
05.04.26	Sparta Prague - Karviná	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Sigma Olomouc - Karviná	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Karviná - Pardubice	1:2 ✺
Czech Cup
05.03.26	Karviná - Viktoria Plzeň	3:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
01.03.26	Karviná - Slovácko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LTLWL
- Slovan Liberec
Czech 1 Liga
04.04.26	Slovan Liberec - Slovácko	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Pardubice - Slovan Liberec	1:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
15.03.26	Slovan Liberec - Teplice	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Bohemians 1905 - Slovan Liberec	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Slovan Liberec - Hradec Králové	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
09.11.25	Slovan Liberec - Karviná	6:0
19.04.25	Slovan Liberec - Karviná	2:3
21.07.24	Karviná - Slovan Liberec	1:3
09.03.24	Slovan Liberec - Karviná	1:0
30.09.23	Karviná - Slovan Liberec	5:2
17.04.22	Slovan Liberec - Karviná	2:1
21.11.21	Karviná - Slovan Liberec	1:2

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