Match Info

Super Lig - Round 4

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Cakir O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kasımpaşa		Amed SK

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.65	Watch
	2.50	3.20	2.80
	2.52	3.07	2.8	Watch
	2.63	3.18	2.98
	2.54	3.2	2.88	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.9
	2.61	3.21	2.98	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.17)	3.18 ↓ (3.46)	2.86 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kasımpaşa
37.1%

Draw
29.8%

Amed SK
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

27.3%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kasımpaşa's form might have worsened.

Amed SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	46.2%	15.4%

Kasımpaşa - Amed SK Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Amed will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gianniotis A. (G) 2. Winck C. (C) 4. Arous A. 27. Ilie M. 45. Karapo A. 26. Demirbay K. 19. Rafferty M. 16. Baldursson A. 9. Benedyczak A. 50. Yalcin G. 7. Kol A.	40. Lafont A. (C) 33. Cisse A. 4. Bates D. 5. Dellova L. 7. Krasniqi E. 22. Raveloson R. 18. Gul G. 17. Meras U. 91. Saba D. 45. Diagne M. 10. Ballet S.
Substitutes
23. Alkas S. 66. Boz E. 30. Dagbasi A. 35. Deniz S. 5. Jessen J. 51. Mendes E. 14. Mouanga K. 8. Mujde A. 17. Rak-Sakyi J. 25. Yanar A. (G)	3. Acer M. 27. Bozan B. (G) 47. Demirtas K. 74. Khalil M. 97. Kizildemir B. 93. Lutin R. 99. Orban G. 8. Soyalp F. 6. Ustundag C. 21. Yesil M.
Coaches
Belozoglu E.	Hasi B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Yalcin G. ⚽, Winck C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Gul G. ↓, Soyalp F. ↑,
46', Diagne M. ↓, Orban G. ↑,
52', 2 - 0, Benedyczak A. ⚽, Rafferty M. (A),
58', Saba D. 🟨,
59', 2 - 1, Orban G. ⚽,
66', Ballet S. ↓, Lutin R. ↑,
67', Rafferty M. ↓, Mendes E. ↑,
72', Baldursson A. ↓, Boz E. ↑,
76', Demirbay K. 🟨,
77', Cisse A. ↓, Khalil M. ↑,
82', Benedyczak A. ↓, Rak-Sakyi J. ↑,
82', Demirbay K. ↓, Mujde A. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Orban G. ⚽, Khalil M. (A),
86', Saba D. ↓, Yesil M. ↑,
90+1', Rak-Sakyi J. 🟨,
90+3', Boz E. 🟨,
90+4', Yalcin G. 🟨,
90+4', Bates D. 🟨,
90+5', Kol A. 🟨,

Preview

Kasımpaşa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Amed may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Corekci K. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Amed: Bates D. (Injury) Sor Y. (Injury) Yildirim M. (Inactive)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Amedspor	7	4	2	1	17:9	8	14
8	Kasimpasa	7	2	4	1	8:8	0	10

Last Results with these Odds

Kasımpaşa - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 43.54%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kasımpaşa
Turkish Super League
30.08.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Kasımpaşa	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Çorum - Kasımpaşa	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Kasımpaşa - Trabzonspor	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Kasımpaşa - Hull City	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Kasımpaşa - İstanbulspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 TWTTW
- Amed SK
Turkish Super League
31.08.26	Amed SK - Trabzonspor	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Kocaelispor - Amed SK	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Amed SK - Erzurumspor	3:0 ✺
Turkish First League
02.05.26	Igdirspor - Amed SK	3:3 ✺
26.04.26	Amed SK - Bodrumspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLWTT

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