The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kasımpaşa 40.9%
Draw 27.9%
Denizlispor 31.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.1%
28.1%
24.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.8%
21.4%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kasımpaşa's form might have worsened.
Denizlispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Denizlispor's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (+20.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kasımpaşa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denizlispor than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Denizlispor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
25%
12.5%
Kasımpaşa - Denizlispor Predictions
Users Predictions:
48 users predict this event. Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 30 - 62.5%). Denizlispor will win (votes: 6 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kasımpaşa: 48.8% – 76.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 20 in the zone Relegation to 1. Lig).
Kasımpaşa has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Denizlispor has a good chance of relegated (59%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Kasımpaşa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Denizlispor has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Kasımpaşa will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Kasımpaşa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.
Including matches at home between the teams Kasımpaşa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.