Match Info

Super Lig - Round 26

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1


	Kasımpaşa		Eyüpspor

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.6	3.9	Watch
	1.95	3.5	4.28
	1.94	3.52	3.94	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.8
	1.91	3.69	4.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.82)	3.52 ↓ (3.82)	4.03 ↓ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kasımpaşa
49.5%

Draw
26.9%

Eyüpspor
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

24.8%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

22.9%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Eyüpspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eyüpspor than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	29.4%	0%

Kasımpaşa - Eyüpspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kasımpaşa: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Kasımpaşa (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gianniotis A. (G) 2. Winck C. (C) 50. Rodrigo Becao 4. Arous A. 22. Corekci K. 8. Cafu 16. Baldursson A. F. 71. Kahveci I. C. 34. Diabate F. 12. Ben Ouanes M. 19. Benedyczak A.	24. Yilmaz J. (G) 17. Ulvan T. 68. Onguene J. 5. Ozyurt B. 77. Meras U. 28. Taskin I. (C) 55. Gezek B. A. 26. Altunbas M. 8. Akbaba E. 23. Pintor L. 19. Bozok U.
Substitutes
18. Allevinah J. 5. Aydin E. 29. Aydin T. 9. Barasi Y. 26. Demirbay K. 77. Gueye P. 11. Kol A. 20. Opoku N. 23. Tosun C. 25. Yanar A. (G)	20. Legowski M. 2. Lucas Calegari 4. Luccas Claro 1. Marcos Felipe (G) 14. Ndoye D. 22. Radu D. 15. Raux Yao C. 10. Torres A. 16. Yasar A. 88. Yavuz A.
Coaches
Belozoglu E.	Gerin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Benedyczak A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Pintor L. ↓, Torres A. ↑,
55', Taskin I. ↓, Legowski M. ↑,
70', Legowski M. 🟨,
72', Onguene J. ↓, Raux Yao C. ↑,
75', Benedyczak A. ↓, Tosun C. ↑,
77', Kahveci I. C. 🟨,
78', Rodrigo Becao 🟨,
85', Meras U. ↓, Radu D. ↑,
85', Ulvan T. ↓, Lucas Calegari ↑,
87', Diabate F. ↓, Allevinah J. ↑,
89', Allevinah J. 🟨,
90+4', Raux Yao C. 🟨,
90+6', Ben Ouanes M. ↓, Demirbay K. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 15).

Recent performances by Kasımpaşa have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Eyüpspor has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kasımpaşa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kasımpaşa is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Hajradinovic H. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Kasımpaşa: Corekci K. (Inactive) Demirbay K. (Inactive) Tasdemir E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Eyüpspor: Rotariu D. (Injury) Stepanenko T. (Injury) Yasar A. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Kasımpaşa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Kasimpasa	7	2	4	1	8:8	0	10
18	Eyupspor	6	1	0	5	2:16	-14	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kasımpaşa
Turkish Super League
08.03.26	Konyaspor - Kasımpaşa	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Kasımpaşa - Çaykur Rizespor	0:3 ✺
23.02.26	Fenerbahçe - Kasımpaşa	1:1 ✺
16.02.26	Kasımpaşa - Fatih Karagümrükspor	3:2 ✺
09.02.26	Gaziantep - Kasımpaşa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TLTWL
- Eyüpspor
Turkish Super League
09.03.26	Eyüpspor - Kocaelispor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
05.03.26	Eyüpspor - Konyaspor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
28.02.26	Göztepe - Eyüpspor	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Eyüpspor - Gençlerbirliği	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Galatasaray - Eyüpspor	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
20.10.25	Eyüpspor - Kasımpaşa	2:0
10.05.25	Eyüpspor - Kasımpaşa	0:3
13.12.24	Kasımpaşa - Eyüpspor	2:0

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