Match Info

Super Lig - Round 32

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Sansalan A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2


	Kasımpaşa		Sivasspor

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.8	4.1
	1.88	3.7	3.7
	1.73	4.13	4.13	Watch
	1.76	4.13	4.41
	1.75	4.12	4.24	Watch
	1.91	3.6	3.7
	1.73	4.08	4.44	Watch
	1.73	4.13	4.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.01)	3.96 ↓ (3.98)	4.11 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kasımpaşa
53.2%

Draw
23.8%

Sivasspor
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

24%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

23.8%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kasımpaşa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kasımpaşa's performance.

Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sivasspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kasımpaşa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sivasspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.5%	4.8%	4.8%

Kasımpaşa - Sivasspor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Sivasspor (2.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Sivasspor (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Kasımpaşa will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kasımpaşa will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Kasımpaşa (votes: 9 - 75%). Sivasspor (votes: 3 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gianniotis A. (G) 14. Espinoza J. 20. Opoku N. 58. Ozcan Y. 77. Rodrigues K. 8. Cafu 7. Fall M. 35. Kara A. 12. Ben Ouanes M. 11. Keles C. 18. Da Costa N.	35. Vural A. (G) 90. Turgunboev A. 27. Sonko Sundberg N. 14. Camara S. 3. Ciftci U. 12. Moutoussamy S. 30. Cigerci T. 46. Boke T. 80. Bekiroglu E. 22. Simic V. 9. Manaj R.
Substitutes
13. Aktas A. 23. Alkas S. 29. Aydin T. 72. Barak A. 38. Bolat S. (G) 9. Brekalo J. 22. Inci Y. 54. Mujde A. 47. Muratoglu B. 91. Piatkowski K.	53. Basyigit E. 58. Erdal Z. 74. Erdursun A. (G) 21. Gokay E. 55. Koita F. 11. Menig Q. 44. Poungouras A. 10. Pritchard A. 24. Rodrigues G. 41. Sarman S. (G)
Coaches
Yilmaz B.	Calimbay R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Keles C. ⚽,
31', Ben Ouanes M. 🟨,
34', 2 - 0, Fall M. ⚽,
36', Opoku N. 🟨,
42', Manaj R. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Boke T. ↓, Rodrigues G. ↑,
67', Opoku N. ↓, Piatkowski K. ↑,
73', Simic V. ↓, Koita F. ↑,
73', Sonko Sundberg N. 🟨,
81', Gianniotis A. 🟨,
83', Cigerci T. ↓, Pritchard A. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Koita F. ⚽, Ciftci U. (A),
90', Keles C. 🟨,
90', Keles C. ↓, Brekalo J. ↑,
90+9', 3 - 1, Kara A. (Pen),
90+10', Ben Ouanes M. ↓, Barak A. ↑,
90+11', Kara A. ↓, Inci Y. ↑,
90+11', Cafu ↓, Aydin T. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kasımpaşa won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Kasımpaşa will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Hajradinovic H. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Sivasspor: Charisis C. (Yellow Cards) Nikolic D. (Injury) Paluli M. (Yellow Cards) Radakovic U. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Kasımpaşa: Claudio Winck (Injury) Gul G. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Kasımpaşa won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 28:24 (average 1.4:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Kasımpaşa won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:14 (average 1.5:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kasımpaşa
Turkish Super League
13.04.25	Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa	1:0 ✺
07.04.25	Kasımpaşa - Beşiktaş	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Samsunspor - Kasımpaşa	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Kasımpaşa - Alanyaspor	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Bodrumspor - Kasımpaşa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LTWWL
- Sivasspor
Turkish Super League
13.04.25	Sivasspor - Fenerbahçe	1:3 ✺
05.04.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Sivasspor	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Sivasspor - Adana Demirspor	5:1 ✺
16.03.25	Hatayspor - Sivasspor	3:2 ✺
09.03.25	Sivasspor - Göztepe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
24.11.24	Sivasspor - Kasımpaşa	0:0
01.03.24	Kasımpaşa - Sivasspor	0:0
22.10.23	Sivasspor - Kasımpaşa	0:1
16.05.23	Sivasspor - Kasımpaşa	1:2
24.12.22	Kasımpaşa - Sivasspor	1:2
07.05.22	Sivasspor - Kasımpaşa	1:3
18.12.21	Kasımpaşa - Sivasspor	1:3

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