Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 30

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium (Kashiwa)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kashiwa Reysol		Júbilo Iwata

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.9	5.75	Watch
	1.62	4	5
	1.56	4.15	4.93	Watch
	1.61	4.3	5.5
	1.63	4.13	5.15	Watch
	1.53	4	5
	1.63	4.13	5.19	Watch
	1.57	4.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.63)	4.1 ↑ (4.01)	5.19 ↑ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kashiwa Reysol
59%

Draw
22.9%

Júbilo Iwata
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

23.3%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

22.3%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	38.5%	7.7%

Kashiwa Reysol - Júbilo Iwata Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Iwata will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
46. Matsumoto K. (G) 32. Hiroki S. 13. Inukai T. 4. Koga T. 3. Diego 6. Yamada Y. 33. Shirai E. 37. Tezuka K. 10. Matheus Savio 14. Koyamatsu T. 18. Kakita Y.	1. Kawashima E. (G) 18. Takahata K. 32. Hilo H. 36. Ricardo Graca 4. Matsubara K. 50. Uemura H. 25. Nakamura S. 16. Leo Gomes 14. Matsumoto M. 11. Germain R. 55. Watanabe R.
Substitutes
19. Hosoya M. 16. Katayama E. 15. Kinoshita K. 21. Sasaki M. (G) 29. Shimamura T. 50. Tatsuta Y. 28. Toshima S.	23. Croux J. 13. Fujikawa K. 99. Matheus Peixoto 21. Miura R. (G) 26. Nishikubo S. 15. Suzuki K. 10. Yamada H.
Coaches
Ihara M.	Yokouchi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Watanabe R. ⚽, Nakamura S. (A),
26', 0 - 2, Nakamura S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Shirai E. ↓, Toshima S. ↑,
46', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
60', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
70', Yamada Y. ↓, Shimamura T. ↑,
78', Uemura H. ↓, Nishikubo S. ↑,
78', Matsumoto M. ↓, Fujikawa K. ↑,
83', Hiroki S. ↓, Katayama E. ↑,
87', Takahata K. ↓, Suzuki K. ↑,
88', Hilo H. 🟨,
90+1', Watanabe R. ↓, Matheus Peixoto ↑,
90+7', Tezuka K. 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kashiwa won 2.

Kashiwa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Iwata is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kashiwa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Kashiwa is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Kashiwa won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Kashiwa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League
31.08.24	Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo Verdy	2:3 ✺
25.08.24	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kashiwa Reysol	2:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
21.08.24	Kashiwa Reysol - Vissel Kobe	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
17.08.24	Shonan Bellmare - Kashiwa Reysol	1:2 ✺
11.08.24	Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWT
- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J1 League
25.08.24	Júbilo Iwata - Consadole Sapporo	0:2 ✺
17.08.24	Machida Zelvia - Júbilo Iwata	4:0 ✺
11.08.24	Júbilo Iwata - Kashima Antlers	2:1 ✺
07.08.24	Albirex Niigata - Júbilo Iwata	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.24	Júbilo Iwata - Reims	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
09.03.24	Júbilo Iwata - Kashiwa Reysol	0:1
03.09.22	Júbilo Iwata - Kashiwa Reysol	2:2
02.04.22	Kashiwa Reysol - Júbilo Iwata	2:0
19.08.18	Júbilo Iwata - Kashiwa Reysol	2:0
05.05.18	Kashiwa Reysol - Júbilo Iwata	1:2
18.11.17	Kashiwa Reysol - Júbilo Iwata	1:0
20.05.17	Júbilo Iwata - Kashiwa Reysol	0:2

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