The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 49%
Draw 28.5%
Kashiwa Reysol 22.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.3%
25.8%
18%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.7%
24.3%
17%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sanfrecce Hiroshima's form might have worsened.
Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sanfrecce Hiroshima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kashiwa Reysol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kashiwa Reysol Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 45% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Osako K. (G) 33. Shiotani T. 4. Araki H. 19. Sasaki S. 15. Nakano S. 6. Kawabe H. 35. Nakajima Y. 24. Higashi S. 39. Nakamura S. 51. Kato M. 90. Germain R.
25. Kojima R. (G) 42. Harada W. 4. Koga T. 13. Inukai T. 24. Kubo T. 27. Kumasaka K. 40. Harakawa R. 14. Koyamatsu T. 8. Koizumi Y. 11. Watai M. 18. Kakita Y.
Substitutes
13. Arai N. 36. Inoue A. 20. Inoue S. 26. Jeong Min-Ki (G) 32. Koshimichi S. 5. Matsumoto H. 40. Ohara M. 18. Suga D. 3. Yamasaki T.
3. Diego 9. Hosoya M. 15. Kinoshita K. 46. Matsumoto K. (G) 37. Nakajima S. 19. Nakama H. 33. Shirai E. 5. Tanaka H. 17. Tezuka K.
Coaches
Skibbe M.
Rodriguez R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45+3', Koizumi Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', Watai M. ↓, Nakama H. ↑,
65', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Diego ↑,
65', Nakamura S. ↓, Koshimichi S. ↑,
65', Nakano S. ↓, Arai N. ↑,
66', Sasaki S. 🟨,
73', 1 - 0, Higashi S. ⚽, Koshimichi S. (A),
81', Koizumi Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
81', Inukai T. ↓, Tanaka H. ↑,
84', Harakawa R. 🟨,
85', Kakita Y. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Hosoya M. ⚽, Kinoshita K. (A),
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hiroshima won 4.
Now both teams are in good shape.
Kashiwa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Hiroshima is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Hiroshima to win the game is with odds 1.7.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Hiroshima won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 25:22 (average 1.3:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Hiroshima won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1:1.3).
China
Japan
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Osako K. (G) 
Jeong Min-Ki (G) 
Diego 
Skibbe M. 
Rodriguez R. 
