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Current Win Probability
Kashiwa Reysol 57.7%
Draw 22.2%
Gamba Osaka 20%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
64.1%
18.2%
17.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.1%
17.4%
16.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kashiwa Reysol's form might have worsened.
Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kashiwa Reysol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
77. Wakahara T. (G) 88. Baba S. 4. Koga T. (C) 26. Sugioka D. 24. Kubo T. 21. Konishi Y. 39. Nakagawa N. 5. Endo K. 8. Koizumi Y. 87. Yamauchi H. 15. Fujio S.
1. Higashiguchi M. (G) 47. Nakano S. 4. Nakatani S. (C) 2. Fukuoka S. 21. Hatsuse R. 13. Abe S. 27. Mito R. 17. Yamashita R. 39. Sumi K. 8. Meshino R. 11. Jebali I.
Substitutes
40. Harakawa R. 9. Hosoya M. 25. Kojima R. (G) 2. Mitsumaru H. 19. Nakama H. 20. Segawa Y. 28. Toshima S. 44. Yuba K. 16. Yuruki K.
20. Adams E. 22. Ichimori J. (G) 19. Ikegaya G. 10. Kurata S. 67. Sasaki S. 16. Suzuki T. 35. Tono T. 7. Usami T. 97. Welton
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 1 - 0, Fujio S. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, Jebali I. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Meshino R. ↓, Usami T. ↑,
59', 2 - 1, Fujio S. ⚽,
69', Yamauchi H. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
70', Fujio S. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
70', Fukuoka S. ↓, Sasaki S. ↑,
70', Sumi K. ↓, Welton ↑,
73', 2 - 2, Welton ⚽,
81', Konishi Y. ↓, Harakawa R. ↑,
81', Endo K. ↓, Yuba K. ↑,
89', 2 - 3, Jebali I. ⚽,
90+2', Nakano S. ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
90+2', Sasaki S. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 3, Segawa Y. (Penalty Awarded),
Extra Time (2 - 1)
91', Koizumi Y. ↓, Nakama H. ↑,
99', Abe S. 🟨,
103', 4 - 3, Yuba K. ⚽, Segawa Y. (A),
105', Hatsuse R. 🟨,
106', Mito R. ↓, Adams E. ↑,
108', 4 - 4, Sasaki S. ⚽,
109', 5 - 4, Yuba K. ⚽,
114', Welton ↓, Ikegaya G. ↑,
115', Kubo T. ↓, Mitsumaru H. ↑,
116', Baba S. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Recently, Gamba Osaka has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Kashiwa carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kashiwa has recorded 10 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:23 (averaging 1.6:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kashiwa against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 15:10 goals (averaging 1.7:1.1 per game).
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Wakahara T. (G) 
Jebali I. 
Adams E. 
Welton 
