Match Info

First League - Round 13

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday


	Kaspiy Aktau 2		Taraz

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.50	1.93
	3.3	3.6	1.88
	2.94	3.45	1.92
	3.18	3.66	1.98	Watch
	3.2	3.45	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↓ (3.18)	3.53 ↓ (3.66)	1.91 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaspiy Aktau 2
28.3%

Draw
25.2%

Taraz
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

25%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

23.6%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaspiy Aktau 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Taraz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaspiy Aktau 2 than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taraz than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 1 - 0, Armenov A. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 and 9)

Kaspiy 2 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Taraz has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Taraz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Taraz could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Taraz	23	8	6	9	30:32	-2	30
9	Kaspij Aktau 2	23	7	4	12	29:41	-12	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kaspiy Aktau 2
Kazakh First League
02.07.26	Astana 2 - Kaspiy Aktau 2	6:1 ✺
25.06.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Tobol 2	2:1 ✺
12.06.26	Turan Turkistan - Kaspiy Aktau 2	3:0 ✺
26.05.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Kaspiy Aktau 2	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Jaiyq	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLL
- FC Taraz
Kazakh First League
03.07.26	Kairat 2 - Taraz	4:1 ✺
26.06.26	Taraz - Shakhter Karagandy	0:2 ✺
19.06.26	Khan Tengri - Taraz	2:1 ✺
11.06.26	Taraz - Astana 2	1:2 ✺
27.05.26	Tobol 2 - Taraz	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

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