Match Info

First League - Round 11

Date: 25 June 2026, Thursday


	Kaspiy Aktau 2		Tobol 2

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.80	3.40
	1.77	3.95	3.30
	1.69	3.80	3.40
	1.91	4.02	3.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.91)	3.89 ↓ (4.02)	3.31 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaspiy Aktau 2
50.1%

Draw
22.9%

Tobol 2
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

22.8%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

22.2%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaspiy Aktau 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Tobol 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaspiy Aktau 2 than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobol 2 than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Islam N. ⚽, Tazhikenov S. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Musaev E. ⚽, Zhumadelov N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 2 - 1, Zhazmagambetov Z. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 10 and 12)

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Kaspiy 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kaspiy 2 could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Kaspij Aktau 2	24	8	4	12	35:41	-6	28
13	Tobol 2	24	4	5	15	44:61	-17	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kaspiy Aktau 2
Kazakh First League
12.06.26	Turan Turkistan - Kaspiy Aktau 2	3:0 ✺
26.05.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Kaspiy Aktau 2	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Jaiyq	0:1 ✺
14.05.26	Yelimay 2 - Kaspiy Aktau 2	0:4 ✺
07.05.26	Kaspiy Aktau 2 - Shakhter Karagandy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWL
- Tobol Kostanay 2
Kazakh First League
18.06.26	Tobol 2 - Batyr Ekibastuz	3:3 ✺
12.06.26	Kairat 2 - Tobol 2	7:0 ✺
27.05.26	Tobol 2 - Taraz	3:3 ✺
22.05.26	Khan Tengri - Tobol 2	2:1 ✺
14.05.26	Tobol 2 - Astana 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TLTLL

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