Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Kastrioti		Besa Kavajë

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.35	1.85
	3.83	3.32	1.86	Watch
	3.49	3.5	1.87
	2.45	3.2	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.45)	3.34 ↑ (3.2)	2.01 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kastrioti
27.3%

Draw
27.3%

Besa Kavajë
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

27.7%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

28.6%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kastrioti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kastrioti's form might have worsened.

Besa Kavajë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Besa Kavajë's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kastrioti than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kastrioti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Besa Kavajë than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Besa Kavajë, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kastrioti - Besa Kavajë Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Besa Kavajë will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 10 in the zone Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kastrioti won 1.

Kastrioti has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Besa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kastrioti won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Kastrioti won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kastrioti
Albanian Cup
19.11.25	Burreli - Kastrioti	5:2 ✺
Albanian First Division
08.11.25	Kastrioti - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	3:1 ✺
03.11.25	Kukësi - Kastrioti	0:1 ✺
29.10.25	Kastrioti - Skënderbeu Korçë	3:2 ✺
25.10.25	Pogradeci - Kastrioti	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LWWWL
- Besa Kavajë
Albanian Cup
19.11.25	Besa Kavajë - Kukësi	3:1 ✺
Albanian First Division
03.11.25	Luftëtari Gjirokastër - Besa Kavajë	1:2 ✺
29.10.25	Besa Kavajë - Kukësi	3:1 ✺
24.10.25	Skënderbeu Korçë - Besa Kavajë	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Besa Kavajë - Pogradeci	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
05.03.25	Kastrioti - Besa Kavajë	2:3
08.12.24	Kastrioti - Besa Kavajë	0:1
16.09.24	Besa Kavajë - Kastrioti	3:0
14.04.24	Besa Kavajë - Kastrioti	3:2
25.02.24	Kastrioti - Besa Kavajë	3:1
11.11.23	Besa Kavajë - Kastrioti	1:1
Albanian Super League
08.12.13	Besa Kavajë - Kastrioti	1:0

Kastrioti - Besa Kavajë: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide