Match Info
Kategoria e Parë - Round 30Date: 11 April 2026, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 World | FIFA+ |
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Kastrioti |
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Laçi |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
4.85 |
4.05 |
1.52 |
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 |
4.06 |
3.37 |
1.76 |
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 |
4.38 |
3.63 |
1.68 |
 Watch |
 |
4.64 |
3.61 |
1.7 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.48 ↓
(7.48) |
3.67 ↓
(5) |
1.67 ↑
(1.32) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Kastrioti
20.3% | Draw
24.9% | Laçi
54.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kastrioti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kastrioti's performance.Laçi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Laçi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kastrioti than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kastrioti that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laçi than the current prediction. (+18%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Laçi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Kastrioti - Laçi Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Tresa L. ⚽,
- 25', 0 - 2, Bibo S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 62', 1 - 2, Mecja F. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kastrioti won 0.Kastrioti has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Laçi is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins). In this match, Laçi is the undisputed favorite.In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Kastrioti won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:21. (average 0.8:1.8).Including home matches between the teams, Kastrioti won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Kastrioti | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Albanian First Division | | | 29.11.25 | Kastrioti - Laçi | 2:2 | | 30.08.25 | Laçi - Kastrioti | 3:1 | | Albanian Super League | | | 25.01.23 | Laçi - Kastrioti | 4:1 | | 22.10.22 | Kastrioti - Laçi | 0:1 | | 08.05.22 | Laçi - Kastrioti | 4:1 | | 07.03.22 | Kastrioti - Laçi | 1:1 | | 22.12.21 | Laçi - Kastrioti | 2:0 |
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