Match Info

ALBANIA: SUPERLIGA - ROUND 14

Date: 16 December 2022, Friday

Location: Kamza Stadium (Tirana)


	Kastrioti		Vllaznia Shkodër

	1	X	2
	3.6	3	2
	3.58	3.2	1.97
	3.65	3.1	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↓ (3.62)	3.1 (3.1)	1.99 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kastrioti
25.1%

Draw
29.3%

Vllaznia Shkodër
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

29.2%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

27.9%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Kastrioti have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Vllaznia Shkodër has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kastrioti than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vllaznia Shkodër than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Kastrioti - Vllaznia Shkodër Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kastrioti will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Vllaznia will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vllaznia: 29% – 96%.

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kastrioti won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Vllaznia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Vllaznia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Kastrioti won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Kastrioti won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kastrioti
Albanian Super League
12.12.22	Tirana - Kastrioti	4:0 ✺
13.11.22	Kastrioti - Kukësi	1:1 ✺
02.11.22	Erzeni - Kastrioti	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Kastrioti - Bylis Ballsh	3:0 ✺
22.10.22	Kastrioti - Laçi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTTWL
- Vllaznia Shkodër
Albanian Super League
12.12.22	Vllaznia Shkodër - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0:1 ✺
Albanian Super Cup
07.12.22	Tirana - Vllaznia Shkodër	3:2 ✺
Albanian Super League
03.11.22	Kukësi - Vllaznia Shkodër	0:1 ✺
21.10.22	Vllaznia Shkodër - Bylis Ballsh	2:1 ✺
16.10.22	Laçi - Vllaznia Shkodër	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Albanian Super League
18.09.22	Vllaznia Shkodër - Kastrioti	1:0
26.05.22	Kastrioti - Vllaznia Shkodër	1:3
04.04.22	Vllaznia Shkodër - Kastrioti	1:2
30.01.22	Kastrioti - Vllaznia Shkodër	0:1
20.11.21	Vllaznia Shkodër - Kastrioti	3:1
17.05.21	Vllaznia Shkodër - Kastrioti	1:0
21.03.21	Kastrioti - Vllaznia Shkodër	0:1

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