Match Info

Super Lig - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: GAİN Park Stadyumu (Alanya)

Referee: Arslan Y. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2


	Alanyaspor		Kasımpaşa

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.6	3.9	Watch
	1.88	3.44	4.12
	1.99	3.57	3.8
	1.96	3.58	3.73	Watch
	1.96	3.7	4.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (1.96)	3.58 (3.58)	3.91 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alanyaspor
49.2%

Draw
26.5%

Kasımpaşa
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

26.4%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

26.7%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alanyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Alanyaspor - Kasımpaşa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Kasımpaşa (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alanyaspor will win (18 of 18 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alanyaspor will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Alanyaspor (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Kasımpaşa (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Taskiran E. (G) 3. Lima N. 5. Aliti F. (C) 50. Akdag U. 94. Hadergjonaj F. 42. Makouta G. 58. Maestro 11. Ruan 12. Elia M. 14. Hagi I. 16. Hwang Ui-Jo	1. Gianniotis A. (G) 2. Winck C. 4. Arous A. 20. Opoku N. 41. Szalai At. (C) 33. Tasdemir E. 12. Ben Ouanes M. 16. Baldursson A. F. 8. Cafu 77. Gueye P. 7. Fall M.
Substitutes
20. Aksoy F. 17. Janvier N. 7. Karaca E. 27. Kaya I. 18. Mogultay B. 9. Mounie S. 22. Ogundu U. 48. Paulo Victor (G) 10. Yalcin G. 2. Yavuz B.	9. Barasi Y. 34. Diabate F. 72. Eratilla Y. 14. Espinoza J. 21. Frimpong G. 17. Kanatsizkus K. 98. Kazanci S. (G) 11. Kol A. 5. Mujde A. 6. Ustundag C.
Coaches
Pereira J.	Arveladze S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Tasdemir E. ↓, Frimpong G. ↑,
45+2', 1 - 0, Hwang Ui-Jo ⚽, Hadergjonaj F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Szalai At. ↓, Diabate F. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Gueye P. ⚽, Winck C. (A),
51', Maestro 🟨,
52', 1 - 2, Gueye P. ⚽, Cafu (A),
64', Cafu 🟨,
75', Maestro ↓, Janvier N. ↑,
75', Hadergjonaj F. ↓, Kaya I. ↑,
75', Elia M. ↓, Mounie S. ↑,
82', Ben Ouanes M. ↓, Kanatsizkus K. ↑,
82', Cafu ↓, Ustundag C. ↑,
87', Aliti F. ↓, Yalcin G. ↑,
87', Hwang Ui-Jo ↓, Ogundu U. ↑,
90+4', Gueye P. ↓, Espinoza J. ↑,
90+6', Espinoza J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alanyaspor won 0.

Alanyaspor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kasımpaşa is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Alanyaspor is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Alanyaspor: Bulut B. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Hajradinovic H. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Alanyaspor: Mounie S. (Knee Injury) Ruan (Injury) Yalcin G. (Injury)

There are questionable in Kasımpaşa: Diabate F. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alanyaspor won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 32:37. (average 1.6:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Alanyaspor won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.9:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alanyaspor
Turkish Super League
08.11.25	Trabzonspor - Alanyaspor	1:1 ✺
03.11.25	Alanyaspor - Gaziantep	0:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
29.10.25	Bursa Yıldırımspor - Alanyaspor	1:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
25.10.25	Kocaelispor - Alanyaspor	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Alanyaspor - Göztepe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TTWLW
- Kasımpaşa
Turkish Super League
08.11.25	Kasımpaşa - Göztepe	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa	3:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
29.10.25	Kahta 02 Spor - Kasımpaşa	3:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
26.10.25	Kasımpaşa - Beşiktaş	1:1 ✺
20.10.25	Eyüpspor - Kasımpaşa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
15.03.25	Kasımpaşa - Alanyaspor	2:1
20.10.24	Alanyaspor - Kasımpaşa	1:2
04.02.24	Kasımpaşa - Alanyaspor	2:1
17.09.23	Alanyaspor - Kasımpaşa	3:3
30.05.23	Alanyaspor - Kasımpaşa	1:3
04.01.23	Kasımpaşa - Alanyaspor	4:1
13.02.22	Kasımpaşa - Alanyaspor	2:2

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