Match Info

J2 League - Round 38

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Toyama Stadium (Toyama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kataller Toyama		Blaublitz Akita

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.4	3.75	Watch
	1.92	3.35	3.6	Watch
	1.96	3.69	3.83
	2.41	3.30	2.83	Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.59	Watch
	1.9	3.6	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.4)	3.43 ↑ (3.12)	3.53 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kataller Toyama
46.5%

Draw
27.1%

Blaublitz Akita
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

29.1%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

28.4%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kataller Toyama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kataller Toyama's performance.

Blaublitz Akita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Blaublitz Akita might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kataller Toyama that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blaublitz Akita than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Blaublitz Akita could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Kataller Toyama - Blaublitz Akita Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Kataller Toyama will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kataller Toyama (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tagawa T. (G) 13. Fukazawa S. 4. Kamiyama K. 3. Kagawa Y. 28. Fuseya S. 22. Shiina N. 24. Kawai Y. 32. Mizoguchi S. 7. Sasaki Y. 11. Ogawa K. 39. Furukawa M.	1. Yamada G. (G) 16. Muramatsu K. 71. Hatahashi H. 2. Okazaki R. 13. Saito R. 9. Nakamura R. 25. Fujiyama T. 20. Yoshioka M. 29. Sato D. 34. Suzuki S. 40. Sagawa K.
Substitutes
42. Hirao T. (G) 17. Inoue N. 25. Kameda A. 10. Matsuda R. 8. Matsuoka D. 23. Nishiya S. 16. Sueki H. 40. Takeuchi Y. 27. Yoshihira T.	31. Ishida R. 11. Kajiya Y. 80. Onohara K. 17. Radotic L. (G) 45. Suzuki H. 90. Umeki T. 23. Yatagai S. (G)
Coaches
Adachi R.	Yoshida K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Shiina N. 🟨,
42', Yoshioka M. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
53', 1 - 0, Furukawa M. (Pen),
55', Sagawa K. ↓, Kajiya Y. ↑,
57', Kajiya Y. 🟨,
58', Mizoguchi S. ↓, Matsuoka D. ↑,
58', Sasaki Y. ↓, Kameda A. ↑,
58', Ogawa K. ↓, Yoshihira T. ↑,
58', Furukawa M. 🟨,
60', 2 - 0, Fuseya S. ⚽, Matsuoka D. (A),
64', Yoshioka M. ↓, Ishida R. ↑,
64', Suzuki S. ↓, Umeki T. ↑,
64', Nakamura R. ↓, Onohara K. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Okazaki R. ⚽, Ishida R. (A),
79', Furukawa M. ↓, Matsuda R. ↑,
80', Kagawa Y. ↓, Inoue N. ↑,
83', Fujiyama T. ↓, Suzuki H. ↑,
89', 3 - 1, Shiina N. ⚽,
90+1', Matsuoka D. 🟨,
90+3', 4 - 1, Kameda A. ⚽,
90+5', Matsuoka D. ↓, Sueki H. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 14).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Kataller Toyama will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kataller Toyama won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Kataller Toyama won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Kataller Toyama - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 37.83%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kataller Toyama
Japan J2 League
23.11.25	Ventforet Kofu - Kataller Toyama	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Kataller Toyama - Sagan Tosu	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Kataller Toyama - Ehime	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Kataller Toyama	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Kataller Toyama - Consadole Sapporo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWTLL
- Blaublitz Akita
Japan J2 League
23.11.25	Blaublitz Akita - Vegalta Sendai	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Blaublitz Akita - Iwaki	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Omiya Ardija - Blaublitz Akita	5:0 ✺
26.10.25	Blaublitz Akita - JEF United Chiba	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Sagan Tosu - Blaublitz Akita	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
31.05.25	Blaublitz Akita - Kataller Toyama	2:2
Japan J3 League
21.11.20	Blaublitz Akita - Kataller Toyama	0:1
15.07.20	Kataller Toyama - Blaublitz Akita	0:1

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