Match Info

J2 League - Round 36

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Toyama Stadium (Toyama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kataller Toyama		Sagan Tosu

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.81	Watch
				Watch
	3.85	3.3	1.9	Watch
	4.26	3.51	1.92
	3.63	3.19	2.02	Watch
	4.06	3.45	1.88	Watch
	3.75	3.2	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↑ (3.63)	3.34 ↑ (3.19)	1.92 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kataller Toyama
23.7%

Draw
27.9%

Sagan Tosu
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

28.9%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

27.7%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kataller Toyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Kataller Toyama - Sagan Tosu Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Users Predictions: Sagan Tosu will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tagawa T. (G) 13. Fukazawa S. 4. Kamiyama K. 3. Kagawa Y. 28. Fuseya S. 22. Shiina N. 24. Kawai Y. 32. Mizoguchi S. 11. Ogawa K. 7. Sasaki Y. 39. Furukawa M.	12. Izumori R. (G) 13. Inoue T. 37. Morishita R. 32. Ogawa S. 5. Nagasawa S. 33. Nishiya K. 27. Sakurai T. 7. Arai H. 11. Nishikawa J. 16. Nishizawa K. 47. Shinkawa S.
Substitutes
42. Hirao T. (G) 25. Kameda A. 10. Matsuda R. 8. Matsuoka D. 23. Nishiya S. 16. Sueki H. 40. Takeuchi Y. 14. Ura J. 27. Yoshihira T.	10. Honda F. 4. Imazu Y. 30. Kimoto Y. 23. Kitajima F. 15. Sakai N. 19. Suzuki D. 35. Uchiyama K. (G) 91. Uehara M. 34. Yamada H.
Coaches
Adachi R.	Kogiku A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Sasaki Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Kawai Y. ↓, Sueki H. ↑,
46', Shinkawa S. ↓, Sakai N. ↑,
56', Nagasawa S. ↓, Uehara M. ↑,
56', Sakurai T. ↓, Suzuki D. ↑,
59', 2 - 0, Mizoguchi S. ⚽,
59', Sasaki Y. ↓, Yoshihira T. ↑,
64', 3 - 0, Sueki H. ⚽,
66', Sueki H. 🟨,
67', Morishita R. ↓, Kitajima F. ↑,
67', Nishiya K. ↓, Honda F. ↑,
76', Mizoguchi S. ↓, Matsuoka D. ↑,
77', Furukawa M. ↓, Kameda A. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Suzuki D. ⚽, Nishizawa K. (A),
80', Nishikawa J. ↓, Yamada H. ↑,
85', Nishizawa K. (Pen),
89', Arai H. 🟨,
89', Ogawa K. ↓, Matsuda R. ↑,
89', Kagawa Y. ↓, Takeuchi Y. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 8).

Kataller Toyama has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tosu has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tosu will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kataller Toyama won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kataller Toyama
Japan J2 League
02.11.25	Kataller Toyama - Ehime	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Kataller Toyama	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Kataller Toyama - Consadole Sapporo	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Fujieda MYFC - Kataller Toyama	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Kataller Toyama - Tokushima Vortis	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLLWL
- Sagan Tosu
Japan J2 League
02.11.25	Sagan Tosu - Tokushima Vortis	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Vegalta Sendai - Sagan Tosu	3:2 ✺
18.10.25	Sagan Tosu - Blaublitz Akita	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Sagan Tosu	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Imabari - Sagan Tosu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
23.03.25	Sagan Tosu - Kataller Toyama	1:0

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