Match Info

J2 League - Round 33

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Sagan Tosu		Blaublitz Akita

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.25	3.6	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.4
	2.09	3.3	4.08
	1.40	4.51	7.50	Watch
	2.08	3.18	3.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.08)	3.49 ↑ (3.24)	4.42 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sagan Tosu
50.4%

Draw
27.7%

Blaublitz Akita
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

28.6%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

28.5%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sagan Tosu's performance.

Blaublitz Akita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sagan Tosu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blaublitz Akita than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Sagan Tosu - Blaublitz Akita Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Blaublitz Akita will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Izumori R. (G) 13. Inoue T. 4. Imazu Y. 32. Ogawa S. 5. Nagasawa S. 33. Nishiya K. 2. Matsumoto N. 7. Arai H. 11. Nishikawa J. 16. Nishizawa K. 15. Sakai N.	1. Yamada G. (G) 16. Muramatsu K. 30. Iizumi R. 5. Nagai K. 13. Saito R. 20. Yoshioka M. 66. Doi K. 6. Morooka H. 29. Sato D. 11. Kajiya Y. 40. Sagawa K.
Substitutes
23. Kitajima F. 37. Morishita R. 27. Sakurai T. 47. Shinkawa S. 77. Slivka V. 19. Suzuki D. 35. Uchiyama K. (G) 91. Uehara M. 34. Yamada H.	32. Hasegawa T. 31. Ishida R. 7. Mizutani T. 9. Nakamura R. 14. Oishi R. 2. Okazaki R. 17. Radotic L. (G) 34. Suzuki S.
Coaches
Kogiku A.	Yoshida K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Nishiya K. ⚽, Nagasawa S. (A),
13', Doi K. 🟨,
29', Sakai N. ↓, Shinkawa S. ↑,
42', Morooka H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Doi K. ↓, Mizutani T. ↑,
60', Sagawa K. ↓, Suzuki S. ↑,
60', Yoshioka M. ↓, Ishida R. ↑,
69', Nishizawa K. ↓, Slivka V. ↑,
70', Matsumoto N. ↓, Sakurai T. ↑,
70', Saito R. ↓, Hasegawa T. ↑,
80', Iizumi R. ↓, Okazaki R. ↑,
85', Imazu Y. 🟨,
86', Nishikawa J. ↓, Suzuki D. ↑,
86', Nagasawa S. ↓, Uehara M. ↑,
90+4', Shinkawa S. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 14).

Tosu is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Blaublitz Akita has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Tosu has had a series of away games.

Tosu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tosu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sagan Tosu
Japan J2 League
05.10.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Sagan Tosu	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Imabari - Sagan Tosu	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Sagan Tosu - Roasso Kumamoto	4:2 ✺
13.09.25	Ventforet Kofu - Sagan Tosu	2:3 ✺
30.08.25	Montedio Yamagata - Sagan Tosu	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTWWL
- Blaublitz Akita
Japan J2 League
05.10.25	Blaublitz Akita - Oita Trinita	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Blaublitz Akita - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Ventforet Kofu - Blaublitz Akita	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Blaublitz Akita - Ehime	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	Tokushima Vortis - Blaublitz Akita	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
17.05.25	Blaublitz Akita - Sagan Tosu	1:2

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