Match Info

A Lyga - Round 21

Date: 21 July 2025, Monday

Location: Darius and Girėnas Stadium (Kaunas)

Referee: Bartuskevicius K. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LRT TV


	Kauno Žalgiris		Dainava Alytus

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.13	6.75	16.5
	1.22	5.35	9.6	Watch
	1.24	5.75	10.86
	1.29	5.61	8.20	Watch
	1.14	6.5	21
	1.28	5.88	8.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↑ (1.16)	5.97 ↓ (6.4)	12.48 ↑ (11.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kauno Žalgiris
76.9%

Draw
15.7%

Dainava Alytus
7.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78%

14.1%

7.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kauno Žalgiris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Dainava Alytus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Kauno Žalgiris - Dainava Alytus Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kauno Žalgiris: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Kauno Žalgiris (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Kauno Žalgiris (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Kauno Žalgiris (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris (votes: 6 - 75%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Svedkauskas T. (G) 8. Armanavicius V. (C) 7. Benchaib A. 2. Burdzilauskas T. 77. Georgijevic D. 66. Jurjonas E. 5. Kerkez D. 20. Lekiatas R. 14. Naah D. 70. Ourega F. 79. Paulauskas V.	77. Mickevicius A. (G) 8. Achol M. 5. Chikovani N. 13. Faye C. 23. Koshkosh I. 3. Maksymenko M. 4. Oostenbrink K. 26. Reginaldo 75. Stockunas E. 29. Zabita G. (C) 17. Zevzikovas D.
Substitutes
21. Bah-Traore H. 28. Burdzilauskas E. 11. Cernych F. 9. Chogadze T. 23. Hernandez A. 37. Iyobosa Edokpolor N. 19. Jansonas R. 22. Mikelionis D. (G) 6. Pavlovic D. 10. Sirgedas G. 3. Tolordava A. 30. Vosylius N.	6. Banevicius R. 2. Daniel Alemao 28. Lauva K. (G) 11. Lubas J. 22. Nakashidze N. 14. Obi Chinonso J. 27. Siaudvytis L. 33. Zahladko V.
Coaches
Cerniauskas E.	Orazov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Jurjonas E. 🟥,
31', Armanavicius V. ↓, Iyobosa Edokpolor N. ↑,
44', 1 - 0, Paulauskas V. ⚽, Benchaib A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Faye C. ↓, Obi Chinonso J. ↑,
47', Maksymenko M. 🟨,
55', Chikovani N. ↓, Nakashidze N. ↑,
55', Koshkosh I. ↓, Banevicius R. ↑,
55', Reginaldo ↓, Lubas J. ↑,
60', Ourega F. ↓, Chogadze T. ↑,
60', Paulauskas V. ↓, Cernych F. ↑,
61', Nakashidze N. 🟨,
74', Maksymenko M. ↓, Zahladko V. ↑,
80', Naah D. ↓, Sirgedas G. ↑,
80', Burdzilauskas T. ↓, Bah-Traore H. ↑,
83', Oostenbrink K. 🟨,
89', 2 - 0, Iyobosa Edokpolor N. ⚽, Cernych F. (A),
90+1', 3 - 0, Georgijevic D. (Pen),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris won 3.

Kauno Žalgiris is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dainava has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Dainava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kauno Žalgiris is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:5. (average 1.5:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kauno Žalgiris won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:3. (average 1.9:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Kauno Žalgiris
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.07.25	Pen-y-Bont - Kauno Žalgiris	1:1 ✺
10.07.25	Kauno Žalgiris - Pen-y-Bont	3:0 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
05.07.25	Riteriai - Kauno Žalgiris	1:5 ✺
30.06.25	Banga Gargždai - Kauno Žalgiris	0:2 ✺
24.06.25	Kauno Žalgiris - Panevėžys	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWWWW
- Dainava Alytus
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
14.07.25	Dainava Alytus - Panevėžys	0:3 ✺
06.07.25	Dainava Alytus - Džiugas Telšiai	0:2 ✺
29.06.25	Riteriai - Dainava Alytus	0:2 ✺
24.06.25	Dainava Alytus - Banga Gargždai	2:1 ✺
19.06.25	Panevėžys - Dainava Alytus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
30.05.25	Kauno Žalgiris - Dainava Alytus	4:0
28.02.25	Dainava Alytus - Kauno Žalgiris	1:3
03.11.24	Kauno Žalgiris - Dainava Alytus	0:1
11.08.24	Dainava Alytus - Kauno Žalgiris	0:1
15.06.24	Dainava Alytus - Kauno Žalgiris	0:0
14.04.24	Kauno Žalgiris - Dainava Alytus	1:0
28.09.23	Kauno Žalgiris - Dainava Alytus	1:1

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