The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Riteriai 56.9%
Draw 24.5%
Dainava Alytus 18.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.4%
27.3%
35.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.6%
25.8%
33.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Riteriai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Riteriai's performance.
Dainava Alytus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dainava Alytus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riteriai than the current prediction. (-17.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Riteriai that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dainava Alytus than the current prediction. (+14.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dainava Alytus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Riteriai - Dainava Alytus Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.25 - Riteriai (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Riteriai (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Tuta A. (G) 50. Latvys M. 32. Arthur Pierino 71. Dedura M. 7. Estevez Fernandez L. (C) 17. Rimpa D. 28. Acolatse C. 3. Bulatovic V. 18. Novikovas A. 24. Usavicius J. 9. Mikulenas M.
77. Mickevicius A. (C) 75. Stockunas E. 29. Zabita G. 2. Daniel Alemao 24. Paliusis N. 99. Moura L. 23. Koshkosh I. 8. Achol M. 17. Zevzikovas D. 37. Okoniewski K. 11. Lubas J.
Substitutes
21. Alekna T. 92. Andraikenas K. (G) 10. Civilka S. 98. Denilson 35. Harapko P. 11. Kaulinis A. 37. Sankin A. (G) 19. Stanulevicius R. 30. Sutovicius K. 8. Sveistrys A.
5. Chikovani N. 15. DeZart J. 13. Faye C. 1. Krynskyi V. (G) 28. Lauva K. (G) 3. Maksymenko M. 22. Nakashidze N. 26. Reginaldo 33. Zahladko V.
Coaches
Vaiciunas G.
Orazov M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
16', Okoniewski K. ↓, Reginaldo ↑,
28', 1 - 0, Arthur Pierino ⚽,
35', 2 - 0, Novikovas A. ⚽,
40', Mikulenas M. 🟨,
40', Achol M. 🟨,
45+1', Usavicius J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Usavicius J. ↓, Kaulinis A. ↑,
59', Lubas J. ↓, Faye C. ↑,
67', Novikovas A. ↓, Civilka S. ↑,
67', Acolatse C. ↓, Sveistrys A. ↑,
73', Rimpa D. ↓, Stanulevicius R. ↑,
84', Moura L. ↓, Chikovani N. ↑,
84', Koshkosh I. ↓, DeZart J. ↑,
85', Dedura M. 🟨,
90', Mikulenas M. ↓, Denilson ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Faye C. ⚽, Reginaldo (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Riteriai won 1.
Riteriai is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Dainava has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Riteriai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Riteriai won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:18. (average 1.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Riteriai won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.6:1).