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Current Win Probability
Kauno Žalgiris 2 34.9%
Draw 25.9%
Garliava 39.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.6%
26.1%
48.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.5%
21.2%
39.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kauno Žalgiris 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kauno Žalgiris 2's performance.
Garliava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Garliava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Žalgiris 2 than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garliava than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Garliava Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
68', 0 - 2, ⚽,
70', 1 - 2, ⚽,
80', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 14th in the I Lyga (Relegation) and 12th).
In recent outings, Kauno Žalgiris 2 has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Garliava has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Kauno Žalgiris 2 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Kauno Žalgiris 2 has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:7 (averaging 1.6:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kauno Žalgiris 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:4 goals (averaging 2:2 per game).
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