Match Info
PFL - Championship GroupDate: 27 May 2026, WednesdayLocation: Rizal Memorial Stadium (Manila)
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Kaya |
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Manila Digger |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Kaya 25.8% | Draw 23.4% | Manila Digger 50.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kaya's performance.Manila Digger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manila Digger might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaya than the current prediction. (-12.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kaya that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manila Digger than the current prediction. (+20.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manila Digger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Kaya - Manila Digger Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Kaya will win (votes: 6 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kaya (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Kaya (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Kaya (3.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Kaya (votes: 3 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 30', 0 - 1, Touray B. ⚽,
- 37', 0 - 2, Gai P. O. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+3', 0 - 3, Ceesay S. ⚽,
Preview
Now, both teams are in good form.Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games. In this match, Manila Digger is the undeniable favorite.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaya won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Kaya won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Kaya | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 10 | 9 |
| 3 | Manila Digger | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 | 9 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Philippines PFL | | | 28.02.26 | Manila Digger - Kaya | 1:0 | | 22.11.25 | Kaya - Manila Digger | 0:2 | | 05.04.25 | Kaya - Manila Digger | 1:1 | | 12.03.25 | Manila Digger - Kaya | 1:0 | | 01.06.24 | Kaya - Manila Digger | 3:1 |
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