Match Info

Super Lig - Round 7

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Kadir Has Stadium (Kayseri)

Referee: Arslan Y. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2


	Kayserispor		Gençlerbirliği

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.16	3.33	3.33
	2.21	3.42	3.55
	4.65	2.63	2.13	Watch
	2.12	3.45	3.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (1.91)	3.23 ↓ (3.77)	3.18 ↓ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kayserispor
37.8%

Draw
30.9%

Gençlerbirliği
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

25.4%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

22.4%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kayserispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kayserispor's form might have worsened.

Gençlerbirliği has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gençlerbirliği's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kayserispor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	23.1%	7.7%

Kayserispor - Gençlerbirliği Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Kayserispor will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Gençlerbirliği will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kayserispor: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Bayazit B. (G) 28. Civelek R. 4. Denswil S. 23. Carole L. 3. Burak A. 24. Tokoz D. 30. Opoku A. 33. Soyalp F. 8. Benes L. 7. Cardoso M. (C) 9. Onugkha G.	18. Erenturk E. (G) 13. Pereira P. 6. Goutas D. (C) 2. Thalisson Kelven 23. Hanousek M. 35. Ulgun O. 15. Dele-Bashiru T. 53. Varesanovic D. 11. Gurpuz G. 29. Niang M. 70. Tongya F.
Substitutes
21. Celtik Y. 27. Donmezer D. (G) 17. Kapacak B. 54. Kocaman A. 77. Korkmaz N. 16. Ozbek E. 1. Piri O. (G) 99. Sariarslan T. 22. Tuci I.	1. Akkan G. (G) 17. Csoboth K. 77. Dursun A. 22. Koita S. 10. Mimaroglu M. 8. Onur S. 7. Onyekuru H. 90. Osmanoglu S. 24. Velho R. (G) 4. Zuzek Z.
Coaches
Gisdol M.	Eroglu H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Thalisson Kelven 🟨,
22', Burak A. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Ulgun O. ⚽, Niang M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Varesanovic D. ↓, Koita S. ↑,
50', Koita S. 🟥,
60', Tokoz D. ↓, Tuci I. ↑,
60', Burak A. ↓, Korkmaz N. ↑,
66', Gurpuz G. ↓, Osmanoglu S. ↑,
70', Tongya F. 🟥,
71', Bayazit B. 🟨,
72', Goutas D. 🟨,
75', Denswil S. 🟨,
82', Korkmaz N. ↓, Sariarslan T. ↑,
83', Carole L. 🟨,
83', Niang M. ↓, Zuzek Z. ↑,
83', Niang M. 🟨,
90', Ulgun O. ↓, Onyekuru H. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Tuci I. ⚽, Sariarslan T. (A),
90+2', Soyalp F. ↓, Ozbek E. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 2.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Gençlerbirliği may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kayserispor is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Kayserispor: Ackah Y. (Injury) Ait Bennasser Y. (Inactive) Benes L. (Inactive) Donmezer D. (Inactive) Karimi A. (Inactive) Onugkha G. (Inactive) Soyalp F. (Inactive)

There will not play in Gençlerbirliği: Etebo P. (Muscle Injury) Kemaloglu E. (Knee Injury) Sahindere A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Kayserispor: Hosseini M. (Injury) Korkmaz N. (Injury) Mane C. (Inactive) Mendes J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Gençlerbirliği: Kyabou M. (Inactive) Uzum F. (Inactive)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:30. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Kayserispor won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kayserispor
Turkish Super League
24.09.25	Kayserispor - Beşiktaş	0:4 ✺
20.09.25	Antalyaspor - Kayserispor	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Kayserispor - Göztepe	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Kocaelispor - Kayserispor	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Kayserispor - Galatasaray	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTTTL
- Gençlerbirliği
Turkish Super League
20.09.25	Gençlerbirliği - Eyüpspor	1:0 ✺
15.09.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Gençlerbirliği	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Gençlerbirliği - Fenerbahçe	1:3 ✺
23.08.25	Gaziantep - Gençlerbirliği	2:1 ✺
17.08.25	Gençlerbirliği - Antalyaspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Cup
18.01.24	Kayserispor - Gençlerbirliği	1:2
22.12.22	Kayserispor - Gençlerbirliği	2:0
Turkish Super League
20.04.21	Kayserispor - Gençlerbirliği	2:2
28.12.20	Gençlerbirliği - Kayserispor	3:2
20.06.20	Kayserispor - Gençlerbirliği	2:0
09.11.19	Gençlerbirliği - Kayserispor	2:1
Club Friendly
05.08.18	Kayserispor - Gençlerbirliği	1:0

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