The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hatayspor 30.1%
Draw 26.7%
Alanyaspor 43.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.8%
26.6%
39.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.4%
27.1%
38.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Alanyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10.5%
10.5%
78.9%
Hatayspor - Alanyaspor Predictions
Users Predictions:
38 users predict this event. Hatayspor will win (votes: 4 - 10.5%). Alanyaspor will win (votes: 30 - 78.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Alanyaspor: 65.9% – 91.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Bekaj V. (G) 15. Yilmaz R. B. (C) 3. Kilama G. 4. Calvo F. 88. Sertel C. 8. Massanga Matondo 6. Parmak A. 98. Boutobba B. 7. Bamgboye F. 77. Fernandes J. 9. Aboubakar V.
1. Taskiran E. (G) 8. Keskin E. 3. Lima N. 5. Aliti F. 29. Balkovec J. 42. Makouta G. 20. Aksoy F. 27. Augusto L. 7. Karaca E. 9. Cordova S. 16. Hwang Ui-Jo
Substitutes
2. Corekci K. 27. Demir C. 11. Okoronkwo J. 14. Rui Pedro 5. Saglam G. 34. Saricali D. (G) 23. Sarka B. 10. Strandberg C. 16. Temel S. 25. Yildiz A.
23. Bayram M. (G) 44. Bilin N. 17. Janvier N. 99. Karagoz Y. (G) 35. Sen H. 10. Sporar A. 4. Toy U. M. 52. Vilhena T. 2. Yavuz B.
Coaches
Sahin M.
Ugurlu S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Kilama G. 🟨,
31', Massanga Matondo 🟨,
33', Calvo F. 🟨,
38', Augusto L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Yilmaz R. B. ↓, Corekci K. ↑,
46', Keskin E. ↓, Vilhena T. ↑,
56', 1 - 0, Bamgboye F. ⚽,
60', Hwang Ui-Jo ↓, Sporar A. ↑,
65', Lima N. 🟨,
67', Cordova S. ↓, Janvier N. ↑,
68', Boutobba B. ↓, Saglam G. ↑,
72', Fernandes J. 🟨,
76', Aboubakar V. ↓, Strandberg C. ↑,
90', Parmak A. ↓, Demir C. ↑,
90+1', Sertel C. ↓, Rui Pedro ↑,
90+4', Bekaj V. 🟨,
90+5', Augusto L. 🟨,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 11).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hatayspor won 1.
Hatayspor has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Alanyaspor is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Hatayspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Alanyaspor: Bulut B.
(Knee Injury)
Ozdemir Y.
(Yellow Cards)
Richard
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Hatayspor: Alici K.
(Injury)
Corekci K.
(Injury)
Diack L.
(Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Hatayspor won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:13 (average 0.9:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Hatayspor won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:1 (average 1.8:0.3).