Match Info

TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 23

Date: 7 February 2025, Friday

Location: Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu (Samsun)

Referee: Akarsu A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1


	Samsunspor		Hatayspor

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.5	6	Watch
	1.47	4.5	6
	1.45	4.5	6.53	Watch
	1.49	4.59	6.68
	1.51	4.42	6.21	Watch
	1.44	4.4	6
	1.48	4.55	6.32	Watch
	1.45	4.5	6.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.52)	4.5 ↑ (4.34)	6.28 ↑ (5.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Samsunspor
64%

Draw
21%

Hatayspor
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

21.8%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

21.4%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Samsunspor - Hatayspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Samsunspor will win (34 of 34 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kocuk O. (G) 18. Yavru Z. 37. Satka L. 4. Van Drongelen R. 16. Bola M. 6. Ait Bennasser Y. 5. Yuksel C. 14. Dimata L. 21. Holse C. 11. Kilinc E. 9. Marius	12. Bekaj V. (G) 4. Calvo F. 15. Yilmaz R. B. 3. Kilama G. 88. Sertel C. 6. Parmak A. 98. Boutobba B. 8. Massanga Matondo 5. Saglam G. 77. Fernandes J. 9. Aboubakar V.
Substitutes
8. Aydogdu S. 55. Cift Y. E. 28. Gonul S. 7. Muja A. 2. Nanu 10. Ntcham O. 20. Ozbaskici M. 17. Schindler K. 13. Tait F. 45. Yeral H. (G)	7. Bamgboye F. 27. Demir C. 31. Matur O. 14. Rui Pedro 34. Saricali D. (G) 23. Sarka B. 10. Strandberg C. 16. Temel S. 25. Yildiz A.
Coaches
Reis T.	Sahin M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Marius ⚽, Kilinc E. (A),
7', 2 - 0, Yavru Z. ⚽,
27', Fernandes J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Kilama G. 🟨,
67', Saglam G. ↓, Bamgboye F. ↑,
70', Dimata L. 🟨,
73', Marius ↓, Schindler K. ↑,
76', Fernandes J. ↓, Strandberg C. ↑,
81', Holse C. ↓, Aydogdu S. ↑,
82', Kilinc E. ↓, Muja A. ↑,
82', Bola M. ↓, Gonul S. ↑,
90+1', Dimata L. ↓, Ozbaskici M. ↑,
90+3', Sertel C. ↓, Matur O. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).

Samsunspor is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hatayspor has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Samsunspor is certain favorite.

There will not play in Hatayspor: Okoronkwo J. (Foot Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Samsunspor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Samsunspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samsunspor
Turkish Super League
01.02.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Samsunspor	4:0 ✺
24.01.25	Samsunspor - Gaziantep	2:1 ✺
18.01.25	Beşiktaş - Samsunspor	0:0 ✺
11.01.25	Kayserispor - Samsunspor	0:1 ✺
04.01.25	Samsunspor - Trabzonspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWTWW
- Hatayspor
Turkish Super League
01.02.25	Hatayspor - Antalyaspor	2:3 ✺
27.01.25	Kasımpaşa - Hatayspor	5:4 ✺
17.01.25	Hatayspor - Galatasaray	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Hatayspor - Çaykur Rizespor	1:2 ✺
05.01.25	Fenerbahçe - Hatayspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
01.09.24	Hatayspor - Samsunspor	0:3
17.03.24	Hatayspor - Samsunspor	3:0
04.11.23	Samsunspor - Hatayspor	2:1

Upcoming Matches