Match Info

Super Lig - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadium (Izmit)

Referee: Kayatepe A. D. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Venezuela	Disney+


	Kocaelispor		Trabzonspor

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.3	2.85	Watch
	2.42	3.11	2.93	Watch
	2.63	3.28	2.72	Watch
	2.45	3	2.8
	2.56	3.27	2.99	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.66)	3.18 ↓ (3.26)	2.86 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kocaelispor
37.8%

Draw
29.5%

Trabzonspor
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

29%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

29.3%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Trabzonspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	31.8%	31.8%

Kocaelispor - Trabzonspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Kocaelispor will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Trabzonspor will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kocaelispor: 16.3% – 56.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - draw (1.52) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jovanovic A. (G) 22. Oguz A. 2. Dijksteel A. 6. Smolcic H. 21. Haidara M. 10. Linetty K. 75. Bingol T. 7. Agyei D. 99. Rivas R. 17. Churlinov D. 9. Petkovic B. (C)	24. Onana A. (G) 20. Pina W. 27. Nwaiwu C. 44. Batagov A. 19. Eskihellac M. 26. Jabol-Folcarelli T. 42. Inao Oulai C. 22. Zubkov O. 10. Muci E. 70. Olaigbe K. 99. Felipe Augusto
Substitutes
5. Balogh B. 27. Bilim E. 3. Cinan M. 35. Degirmenci G. (G) 19. Dursun S. 18. Gedik F. 70. Keles C. 14. Show 34. Syrota O. 23. Yalcin S.	8. Bouchouari B. 17. Cakiroglu O. 61. Canak C. 25. Cevikkan O. (G) 95. Dogan A. (G) 92. Ince T. E. 74. Malkocoglu S. 9. Nwakaeme A. 11. Tufan O. 5. Yokuslu O.
Coaches
Inan S.	Tekke F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Petkovic B. ⚽, Bingol T. (A),
44', 1 - 1, Felipe Augusto ⚽, Olaigbe K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Jovanovic A. ↓, Degirmenci G. ↑,
46', Churlinov D. ↓, Show ↑,
58', Smolcic H. ↓, Balogh B. ↑,
75', Eskihellac M. 🟨,
77', Muci E. 🟨,
79', Agyei D. ↓, Keles C. ↑,
81', Olaigbe K. ↓, Bouchouari B. ↑,
86', Eskihellac M. ↓, Canak C. ↑,
87', Inao Oulai C. ↓, Nwakaeme A. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Muci E. ⚽, Zubkov O. (A),
90+4', Linetty K. ↓, Dursun S. ↑,
90+4', Muci E. ↓, Yokuslu O. ↑,
90+6', Bingol T. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).

Kocaelispor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Trabzonspor has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kocaelispor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Kocaelispor: Wieteska M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Trabzonspor: Baniya R. (Shin Injury) Baskan B. (Suspended) Eskihellac M. (Inactive) Onuachu P. (International duty) Savic S. (Injury) Visca E. (Foot Injury) Yokuslu O. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kocaelispor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Trabzonspor	7	4	1	2	16:5	11	13
6	Kocaelispor	6	4	0	2	7:4	3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kocaelispor
Turkish Cup
13.01.26	Gaziantep - Kocaelispor	1:0 ✺
23.12.25	Kocaelispor - Erzurumspor	3:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
19.12.25	Kocaelispor - Antalyaspor	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kocaelispor	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Kocaelispor - Kasımpaşa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWTT
- Trabzonspor
Turkish Cup
14.01.26	İstanbulspor - Trabzonspor	1:6 ✺
Turkish Super Cup
05.01.26	Galatasaray - Trabzonspor	4:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
22.12.25	Gençlerbirliği - Trabzonspor	4:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
17.12.25	Trabzonspor - Alanyaspor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
14.12.25	Trabzonspor - Beşiktaş	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
11.08.25	Trabzonspor - Kocaelispor	1:0

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