Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 17

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Aktepe Stadium (Ankara)

Referee: Kol Y. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, TRT Spor


	Keçiörengücü		Fatih Karagümrükspor

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.5	2.35	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.3
	2.8	3.5	2.4	Watch
	2.79	3.66	2.38
	2.74	3.52	2.4	Watch
	2.75	3.25	2.3
	2.79	3.32	2.37
	2.8	3.5	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (2.93)	3.46 ↑ (3.29)	2.36 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keçiörengücü
33.8%

Draw
26.9%

Fatih Karagümrükspor
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

28.5%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

28.8%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keçiörengücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

Keçiörengücü - Fatih Karagümrükspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Karagümrük will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Ucar M. (G) 19. Yildiz U. 44. Caulker S. 15. Sengul A. 11. Dere A. 6. Develi E. 16. Ayaydin O. 14. Camara M. 8. Rroca E. 55. Diouf M. 12. Bitin G.	1. Bilgin E. (G) 35. Cankaya A. R. 4. Demir Y. E. 3. Djilobodji P. 22. Tintis E. 11. Johnson D. 14. Doh M. 7. Camacho J. 19. Gurpuz G. 10. Dovedan N. 9. Wesley Moraes
Substitutes
7. Abazaj K. 22. Ayan H. 27. Basravi Y. 5. Caliskan O. 10. Dembele P. M. 73. Lus S. 36. Nahirci O. 18. Satilmis E. (G) 20. Tasbakir R. 95. Traore A.	18. Akgun A. 99. Beklevic F. (G) 94. Cinar A. 6. Dabanli B. 90. Demiroglu B. 72. Kalayci B. 20. Mert M. 17. Sivri A. 8. Ugur A. 23. Ulvan T.
Coaches
Sozeri E.	Sassarini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Rroca E. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Wesley Moraes ⚽, Dovedan N. (A),
45', Sozeri E. 🟨,
45', Sozeri E. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ayaydin O. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
63', Dovedan N. 🟨,
64', Dere A. 🟨,
66', Bitin G. ↓, Dembele P. M. ↑,
73', Bitin G. 🟨,
74', Bitin G. 🟥,
76', Dere A. ↓, Lus S. ↑,
76', Camara M. ↓, Abazaj K. ↑,
77', Bilgin E. 🟨,
80', Wesley Moraes ↓, Ugur A. ↑,
80', Camacho J. ↓, Sivri A. ↑,
82', Rroca E. ↓, Caliskan O. ↑,
87', Sengul A. 🟨,
88', Dovedan N. ↓, Kalayci B. ↑,
90+5', Tintis E. ↓, Ulvan T. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Keçiörengücü won 5.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Keçiörengücü could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Karagümrük: Kurukalip C. (Yellow Cards)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Keçiörengücü won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15:5 (average 2.5:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Keçiörengücü won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 3:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Fatih Karagümrükspor - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 39.59%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keçiörengücü
Turkish Cup
18.12.24	Keçiörengücü - Sivasspor	1:4 ✺
Turkish First League
15.12.24	Umraniyespor - Keçiörengücü	1:2 ✺
08.12.24	Keçiörengücü - İstanbulspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.12.24	Keçiörengücü - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	4:2 ✺
Turkish First League
01.12.24	Şanlıurfaspor - Keçiörengücü	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWWWW
- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish Cup
18.12.24	Umraniyespor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:2 ✺
Turkish First League
14.12.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Boluspor	2:2 ✺
08.12.24	Gençlerbirliği - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.12.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Sarıyer	3:0 ✺
Turkish First League
01.12.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Erokspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
12.07.20	Keçiörengücü - Fatih Karagümrükspor	3:0
22.12.19	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Keçiörengücü	0:2
Turkish Second League White Group
17.12.16	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Keçiörengücü	1:2
Turkish Second League Red Group
17.01.16	Keçiörengücü - Fatih Karagümrükspor	3:1
06.09.15	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Keçiörengücü	1:3
Turkish Second League White Group
31.01.15	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Keçiörengücü	2:2

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