Match Info

Besta deild karla - Championship Group - Round 2

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Keflavíkurvöllur (Keflavík)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland 4
World	OneFootball TV


	Keflavík		Fram

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.00	4.00	1.66
	3.50	3.85	1.74	Watch
	4.38	4.44	1.68
	3.56	4.34	1.85	Watch
	4.30	4.30	1.65
	4.32	4.22	1.66	Watch
	4.10	4.20	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.02 ↑ (2.89)	4.19 ↑ (3.89)	1.7 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keflavík
23.1%

Draw
22.2%

Fram
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

23.6%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

23.4%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keflavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Keflavík's form might have worsened.

Fram has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fram's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keflavík than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Keflavík, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fram than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fram, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Keflavík - Fram Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Fram will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Magnusson A. (G) 2. Bwomono E. 88. Simicic M. 20. Brigic M. 47. Karlsson E. 23. Ragnarsson E. 25. Elvarsson F. (C) 6. Magnusson S. 21. Conteh A. 7. Valsson D. 10. Ljubicic S.	22. Sigurdsson V. (G) 19. Chopart K. (C) 5. McLagan K. 26. Runarsson S. 3. Thorbjornsson T. 8. Asgrimsson H. 25. Sigurdsson F. 18. Jonasson A. 10. Fred Saraiva 9. Hauksson R. 29. Dimitrijevic V.
Substitutes
18. Bjarnason E. 30. Danielsson R. (G) 28. Davidsson H. 4. Heras N. 3. Johannesson A. 22. Magnusson A. 14. Mudrazija M. 26. Sveinsson V.	23. Aegisson M. 24. Birgisson N. 15. Bystrom J. 16. Garcia I. 1. Hardarson S. (G) 38. Hedinsson G. A. 21. Hlynsson O. 7. Konradsson K. 12. Tibbling S.
Coaches
Gudmundsson H.	Kristinsson R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', McLagan K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
48', 1 - 0, Ljubicic S. ⚽, Ragnarsson E. (A),
52', 1 - 1, Hauksson R. ⚽,
57', Runarsson S. 🟨,
59', 1 - 2, Sigurdsson F. ⚽,
63', McLagan K. ↓, Aegisson M. ↑,
63', Elvarsson F. ↓, Mudrazija M. ↑,
66', 2 - 2, Bwomono E. ⚽, Karlsson E. (A),
71', Dimitrijevic V. ↓, Konradsson K. ↑,
71', Karlsson E. ↓, Magnusson A. ↑,
71', Bwomono E. ↓, Johannesson A. ↑,
80', Mudrazija M. 🟨,
81', Magnusson S. ↓, Bjarnason E. ↑,
81', Fred Saraiva ↓, Garcia I. ↑,
81', Thorbjornsson T. ↓, Bystrom J. ↑,
90+1', Simicic M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keflavík won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Fram may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Fram holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Keflavík has recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 40:33 (averaging 2:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Keflavík against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 20:13 goals (averaging 2:1.3 per game).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Fram	24	13	7	4	59:47	12	46
6	Keflavik	24	8	5	11	36:44	-8	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keflavík
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
14.09.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - Keflavík	4:1 ✺
05.09.26	Keflavík - Valur	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - Keflavík	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Keflavík - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Thor Akureyri - Keflavík	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLLWW
- Fram Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
15.09.26	Fram - Breiðablik	1:3 ✺
06.09.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - Fram	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Fram - KA Akureyri	2:2 ✺
24.08.26	Breiðablik - Fram	3:4 ✺
17.08.26	Fram - Stjarnan	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
06.07.26	Keflavík - Fram	1:1
17.04.26	Fram - Keflavík	3:1
Icelandic League Cup
06.03.26	Keflavík - Fram	4:3
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
28.09.23	Fram - Keflavík	3:1
27.08.23	Keflavík - Fram	0:0
02.06.23	Fram - Keflavík	4:1
29.10.22	Keflavík - Fram	4:0

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